98L Invest Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Brent]

I do not like the looks of this.

Development fairly certain

NW Carib and FL Peninsula need to watch this closely

I don't either...

[Ixolib]

Is it too early to rule out a potential threat in the northern Gulf?

[Brent]

Is it too early to rule out a potential threat in the northern Gulf?

I would think it's not... all depends on the timing of these fronts. It could always slip in when one isn't coming through.

I don't think it's likely though.

[Ixolib]

...I don't think it's likely though.

That would be quite nice, I believe.

[Brent]

...I don't think it's likely though.

That would be quite nice, I believe.

So would the front. I'm ready for Fall. 82 today. But low 50's in the morning, and maybe Upper 40s Sunday Morning.

[cat_6]

Disclaimer: The views expressed below are of me and only me and not Storm2k or anyone else.

OK guys, here is a possible track that this storm could take!

It could make a strategic 4-landfalls hit, brushing over Honduras as a Cat 5 killing over 10,000 people, then working its way back up over Cozumel and the Yucatan peninsula, killing hundreds as a Cat 3, then entering the Gulf of Mexico, where it can grow back into a massive, devastating Category 5 storm, performing an unprecedented slam into Tampa Bay, leaving a wave of destruction in its wake. After this, it could continue across Florida, arriving into the Atlantic ocean and making an incredible fourth landfall along the east caost, and then cause endless flooding in the Northeast states.

Here's an image of this scenario, which could make Wilma the Weapon of mass destruction storm of the millennium:

[markymark8]

It looked alot better organized 5 hours ago. The way this year has gone I would not be suprised though if it organizes more Saturday afternoon. I must say this one has suprised me. I still think it will not be a depression until late Saturday night or Sunday morning. If the LLC is where the dark red is located on Infrared Satellite maybe it could become a depression quicker than that. Does anyone think they know where the actual center is located? If it is over Jamaica it could cause the system to only strengthen into a storm or a weak Cat 1 which would be the best scenerio for everyone. Even though Jamaica is little in size it has huge mountains that can tear it apart if it decides to park over that terrain for a while. Guess we will know more tomorrow when recon gets in there.

[Brent]

OK guys, here is a possible track that this storm could take!

It could make a strategic 4-landfalls hit, brushing over Honduras as a Cat 5 killing over 10,000 people, then working its way back up over Cozumel and the Yucatan peninsula, killing hundreds as a Cat 3, then entering the Gulf of Mexico, where it can grow back into a massive, devastating Category 5 storm, performing an unprecedented slam into Tampa Bay, leaving a wave of destruction in its wake. After this, it could continue across Florida, arriving into the Atlantic ocean and making an incredible fourth landfall along the east caost, and then cause endless flooding in the Northeast states.

Here's an image of this scenario, which could make Wilma the Weapon of mass destruction storm of the millennium:

You cannot be serious.

[Scorpion]

OK guys, here is a possible track that this storm could take!

It could make a strategic 4-landfalls hit, brushing over Honduras as a Cat 5 killing over 10,000 people, then working its way back up over Cozumel and the Yucatan peninsula, killing hundreds as a Cat 3, then entering the Gulf of Mexico, where it can grow back into a massive, devastating Category 5 storm, performing an unprecedented slam into Tampa Bay, leaving a wave of destruction in its wake. After this, it could continue across Florida, arriving into the Atlantic ocean and making an incredible fourth landfall along the east caost, and then cause endless flooding in the Northeast states.

Here's an image of this scenario, which could make Wilma the Weapon of mass destruction storm of the millennium:

Too much time on our hands now? Nothing but a disaster movie scenario.

[iceangel]

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USNati ... odnav=none

[fuzzyblow]

OK guys, here is a possible track that this storm could take!

It could make a strategic 4-landfalls hit, brushing over Honduras as a Cat 5 killing over 10,000 people, then working its way back up over Cozumel and the Yucatan peninsula, killing hundreds as a Cat 3, then entering the Gulf of Mexico, where it can grow back into a massive, devastating Category 5 storm, performing an unprecedented slam into Tampa Bay, leaving a wave of destruction in its wake. After this, it could continue across Florida, arriving into the Atlantic ocean and making an incredible fourth landfall along the east caost, and then cause endless flooding in the Northeast states.

Here's an image of this scenario, which could make Wilma the Weapon of mass destruction storm of the millennium:

Too much time on our hands now? Nothing but a disaster movie scenario.

...

[MiamiensisWx]

It is now starting to get very deep convection, as well as some possible (likely) banding features...

[Scorpion]

It looks quite good. A major is not out of the question. IMO it will have Mitch-like track and miss the US altogether.

[txwatcher91]

Do the loop and look at the extremely cold cloud tops.

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[cycloneye]

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR JAMAICA HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER
DEFINED. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALSO INCREASED AND
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER
TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST
OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... AND INTERESTS IN JAMAICA... CUBA... AND
THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA... EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... AND HAITI. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS TENTATIVELY SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY... IF NECESSARY.



10:30 PM TWO.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

OK guys, here is a possible track that this storm could take!

It could make a strategic 4-landfalls hit, brushing over Honduras as a Cat 5 killing over 10,000 people, then working its way back up over Cozumel and the Yucatan peninsula, killing hundreds as a Cat 3, then entering the Gulf of Mexico, where it can grow back into a massive, devastating Category 5 storm, performing an unprecedented slam into Tampa Bay, leaving a wave of destruction in its wake. After this, it could continue across Florida, arriving into the Atlantic ocean and making an incredible fourth landfall along the east caost, and then cause endless flooding in the Northeast states.

Here's an image of this scenario, which could make Wilma the Weapon of mass destruction storm of the millennium:

Just a Friendly Reminder:
Please add a disclaimer

I hope a pray that nothing like that ever comes toward Tampa Bay.
I really concerned as it is with many Pro Mets saying that
fronts or troughs could turn this thing toward FL.

[jkt21787]

It looks quite good. A major is not out of the question. IMO it will have Mitch-like track and miss the US altogether.

Dude, I don't get you.

About 3 pm you said a weak cane into the FL Panhandle, then at 5 pm a TS moving across central FL, now at 10 pm at major missing the US all together. How can anyone take you seriously with your wide variance of opinions just in the last several hours?

[MiamiensisWx]

Dude, I don't get you.

About 3 pm you said a weak cane into the FL Panhandle, then at 5 pm a TS moving across central FL, now at 10 pm at major missing the US all together. How can anyone take you seriously with your wide variance of opinions just in the last several hours?

There is one thing we DO agree about: that the system is getting better organized and is DEFINATELY looking better and better and very good.

[Brent]

Interesting to note the main convection is now EAST of Jamaica... that could have major implications on the track.

[Scorpion]

I said I would like a TS across FL, never said it would happen. I was being cautious 12 hours ago, before the GFDL run. Now I am expecting a major. And the models are clustered around a C America hit.