98L Invest Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

no advance · #321 Postby **no advance** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:06 am

Looks like a sharp trough no llc yet. It wont be no Mitch either.

#322 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:08 am

no advance wrote:Looks like a sharp trough no llc yet. It wont be no Mitch either.

A sharp trough? Are you serious?

DESTRUCTION5 · #323 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:09 am

skysummit wrote:
no advance wrote:Looks like a sharp trough no llc yet. It wont be no Mitch either.

A sharp trough? Are you serious?

LOL..Hope not..

rockyman · #324 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:16 am

no advance wrote:I say no llc because the high clouds are peeling off to the ne.

llc means low level circulation...so why would it make any difference whatsoever if the "high clouds" were "peeling off to the ne"?

#325 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:17 am

If there isn't a LLCC it is very close to it. The only place I can't definitely determine that the low clouds are moving in towards the center are on the N and NE side. I suspect they are however under the dense clouds. Has anyone got any wind reports out of Jamaica? That would help with the determination. Unless something changes drastically I expect recon to go this afternoon and more than like call TD 23 while flying the system.

#326 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:18 am

rockyman wrote:
no advance wrote:I say no llc because the high clouds are peeling off to the ne.

llc means low level circulation...so why would it make any difference whatsoever if the "high clouds" were "peeling off to the ne"?

Because thunderstorms should be moving in a counter-clockwise rotation around the LLC, if there is one. That's what I think he meant.

#327 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:19 am

vbhoutex wrote:If there isn't a LLCC it is very close to it. The only place I can't definitely determine that the low clouds are moving in towards the center are on the N and NE side. I suspect they are however under the dense clouds. Has anyone got any wind reports out of Jamaica? That would help with the determination. Unless something changes drastically I expect recon to go this afternoon and more than like call TD 23 while flying the system.

TD 24, VINCE WAS 23.

#328 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:20 am

OOPS!!!!!

#329 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:20 am

HURAKAN wrote:
rockyman wrote:
no advance wrote:I say no llc because the high clouds are peeling off to the ne.

llc means low level circulation...so why would it make any difference whatsoever if the "high clouds" were "peeling off to the ne"?

Because thunderstorms should be moving in a counter-clockwise rotation around the LLC, if there is one. That's what I think he meant.

Yea, but if the higher clouds are moving in the opposite direction, that means high pressure is building over it. I dunno...original poster, come back and tell us what you meant.

rockyman · #330 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:22 am

HURAKAN wrote:
rockyman wrote:
no advance wrote:I say no llc because the high clouds are peeling off to the ne.

llc means low level circulation...so why would it make any difference whatsoever if the "high clouds" were "peeling off to the ne"?

Because thunderstorms should be moving in a counter-clockwise rotation around the LLC, if there is one. That's what I think he meant.

The high clouds can move off to the NE and there can still be an LLC (shear) or, better yet, high clouds should be moving clockwise if there is good upper level outflow...If the high clouds are moving counter-clockwise, then we have an upper level low....now, just substitute the word "low" for "high" in no advance's post, and then I'd have no issue (though I would still disagree)

#331 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:23 am

By the way, we need a floater over the system, please!!!!!

TS Zack · #332 Postby **TS Zack** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:23 am

A upper-level anticyclone has formed on top of this system. Conditions continue to become better and better.

I think this is a TD, nearing Wilma status.

Stratosphere747 · #333 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:33 am

HURAKAN wrote:By the way, we need a floater over the system, please!!!!!

In this area, you have a 24hr "floater" minus the eclipse period...

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #334 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:34 am

12Z:

#335 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:36 am

TS Zack wrote:A upper-level anticyclone has formed on top of this system. Conditions continue to become better and better.

IIRC there were anticyclones on top of Katrina and Rita, and you know how they turned out. There's a chance this Wilma character could be a monster.

texasweatherwatcher · #336 Postby **texasweatherwatcher** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:37 am

Florida_TSR · #337 Postby **Florida_TSR** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:40 am

We have TD 24. Why haven't they called it?

#338 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:42 am

Florida_TSR wrote:We have TD 24. Why haven't they called it?

Think they're waiting on recon.

CHRISTY · #339 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:42 am

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #340 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Oct 15, 2005 9:43 am

Florida_TSR wrote:We have TD 24. Why haven't they called it?

Surface observations don't support a depression yet.

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