98L Invest Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[senorpepr]

AND COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM OR EVEN A HURRICANE.

I thought the TWo was just to let you know if a system is forming. LOL First time I ever saw them say possibily a hurricane once in the West Caribbean.

The TWO is a 36-hour outlook...

[Florida_TSR]

This stands a great chance of being a major.

[tracyswfla]

AND COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM OR EVEN A HURRICANE.

I thought the TWo was just to let you know if a system is forming. LOL First time I ever saw them say possibily a hurricane once in the West Caribbean.

The TWO is a 36-hour outlook...

It'll be named soon, I am doing laundry like crazy! I am not liking this set up.... This one is making me nervous!

[fci]

AND COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM OR EVEN A HURRICANE.

I thought the TWo was just to let you know if a system is forming. LOL First time I ever saw them say possibily a hurricane once in the West Caribbean.

I do not ever remember them mentioning the "H" word for a system that is not even officially classified as a Tropical Depression.

What is the consensus out there?
Move to Central America, Yucatan; a NNE or NE path towards Fl????

[WindRunner]

AND COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM OR EVEN A HURRICANE.

I thought the TWo was just to let you know if a system is forming. LOL First time I ever saw them say possibily a hurricane once in the West Caribbean.

I do not ever remember them mentioning the "H" word for a system that is not even officially classified as a Tropical Depression.

What is the consensus out there?
Move to Central America, Yucatan; a NNE or NE path towards Fl????

The GFDL and I think the UKMET are saying something like that. BAM suite takes it into Central America, though.

[chadtm80]

Sure would be nice if we could get the floater moved

[cjrciadt]

[Stratosphere747]

Sure would be nice if we could get the floater moved

24hr floater.....

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[artist]

looking at close visible the lower layer doesn't appear to me to quite be there yet.

[gatorcane]

I get back from a trip and log on to see this threat in the Caribbean. I'm not liking this setup for the GOM at all

[cycloneye]

When these alerts are issued almost always TD status follows.

[x-y-no]

Sure would be nice if we could get the floater moved

24hr floater.....

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Tropical RAMSDIS site is also nice:

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html

[Florida_TSR]

TD 24 is here! I strongly think this is going to be another major.

[artist]

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- weather update
From: dervon fowler <reggaeweather at yahoo.com>
Date: Sat, 15 Oct 2005 06:25:45 -0700 (PDT)

Here comes the rain again
Falling on my head like a memory
Falling on my head like a new emotion.
Ahh yes! this Eurythmics song seems very appropriate
on a day like this, it's been raining for the past Few
days, not hard but steady enough to be starting some
flooding by now in some parts of the island, no
reports of this yet though. It really seems this
season is hell bent on breaking all records on the
books.oh well!
I want to walk in the open wind
I want to talk like lovers do
I want to dive into your ocean
Is it raining with you?

Jah guide! And One Love.

from http://www.stormcarib.com

[jkt21787]

TD 24 is here! I strongly think this is going to be another major.

Not Yet...

The Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert is a strong signal, but 98L is NOT an official TD yet, and won't be classified as one until recon observations this afternoon prove it as such...

[Florida_TSR]

This is a TD. It has a closed LLC, 1004 mb, looks great on SAT, 1.5 T#. It is over extremely warm water with tons of energy and very favorable upper level winds. We could be looking at a CANE by Monday.

[DESTRUCTION5]

This is a TD. It has a closed LLC, 1004 mb, looks great on SAT, 1.5 T#. It is over extremely warm water with tons of energy and very favorable upper level winds. We could be looking at a CANE by Monday.

WE WILL BE..WERE JUST DOING THE PROCESS RIGHT NOW...

[senorpepr]

This is a TD. It has a closed LLC, 1004 mb, looks great on SAT, 1.5 T#. It is over extremely warm water with tons of energy and very favorable upper level winds. We could be looking at a CANE by Monday.

Relax... this isn't a depression yet. There isn't enough evidence of it.

[jkt21787]

This is a TD. It has a closed LLC, 1004 mb, looks great on SAT, 1.5 T#. It is over extremely warm water with tons of energy and very favorable upper level winds. We could be looking at a CANE by Monday.

It may look like a TD (and don't get me wrong, I think it is one now or very close to it) but its not official until recon is there in a couple of hours.

I've seen people here get excited before with great looking systems, calling them TDs or TSs, only to see recon a few hours later conclude that it isn't one at all.

[jkt21787]

This is a TD. It has a closed LLC, 1004 mb, looks great on SAT, 1.5 T#. It is over extremely warm water with tons of energy and very favorable upper level winds. We could be looking at a CANE by Monday.

Relax... this isn't a depression yet. There isn't enough evidence of it.

Thaks. Like you said, no reason to get worked up over this. Let's all calm down and wait for recon before we classify this system prematurely...