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rockyman
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#81 Postby rockyman » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:45 pm

Anyone notice that Jamaica, the Caymans, and part of Mexico are "missing" on the floaters (as of 23:15z)?

Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#82 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:46 pm

OMG they where blow off the planet! :eek:
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Brent
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#83 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:47 pm

What the heck?

:?:
Last edited by Brent on Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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TS Zack
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#84 Postby TS Zack » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:47 pm

CHRISTY wrote:that gfs image shows a monster coming towards the north... anybody has info on this trough?


Kind of early for that. That front is in Alaska!

It will be a shortwave that rides across the Country. How strong will it be and the timing is up in the air????
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MiamiensisWx

#85 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:55 pm

Here is the latest GFS run... deepens it fairly well...
Image

Here is the link to the entire latest GFS run...
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-bin/avntc2.cgi?time=2005101518&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
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#86 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:56 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html
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#87 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:57 pm

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 17.6N
78.8W...OR 170 NM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN...AT 15/2100 UTC MOVING W 3
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE DEPRESSION IS
QUICKLY STRENGTHENING AND THE TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BEGUN TO
CONSOLIDATE INTO WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDS WITHIN ABOUT
60-75 NM OF THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS EXCELLENT OVER
ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT THE NW QUADRANT WHERE AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS IS HARBORING DRY AIR AND SWLY FLOW IS CUTTING ACROSS THE
SYSTEM. DEEP CONVECTION IS WIDESPREAD AND EXTENDS FROM CUBA AND
HISPANIOLA SW TO NICARAGUA...BUT SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION
FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 76W-81W. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO
MOVE ONSHORE THE S COAST OF JAMAICA PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN
SPREADING OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HRS AS
T.D. 24 SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE W AND STRENGTHENS.

8 PM Discussion.
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fasterdisaster
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#88 Postby fasterdisaster » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:57 pm

That's scary :eek: . More models have this going north.
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#89 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:58 pm

Oh boy here comes Wilmia.
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chadtm80

#90 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:58 pm

ivanhater wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200524_model.html

Boooooo :-)

:rarrow: http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picser ... p?t=m&m=98
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Ivanhater
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#91 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:59 pm

chadtm80 wrote:
ivanhater wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200524_model.html

Boooooo :-)

:rarrow: http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picser ... p?t=m&m=98


lol, opps i forgot :lol:
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dhweather
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#92 Postby dhweather » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:01 pm

The second coming of Mitch?
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fasterdisaster
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#93 Postby fasterdisaster » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:02 pm

dhweather wrote:The second coming of Mitch?


Or...the second coming of Charley? I hope not :eek: .
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#94 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:03 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:
dhweather wrote:The second coming of Mitch?


Or...the second coming of Charley? I hope not :eek: .


heck ill add second coming of ivan :eek: :lol:
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CHRISTY

#95 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:05 pm

that gfs run continues to bring soon to be wilma towards south fllorida.... iam starting to get nervous.
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CHRISTY

#96 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:06 pm

uh no.. not mitch this is suppose to move north.
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#97 Postby thunderchief » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:07 pm

The westerlies are getting further south and the north gulf is cooling... the 'second coming of ivan' is pushing it a bit I think. All possibilities further south are on the table however.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#98 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:07 pm

You mean you did not get nervous with Katrina or Rita? Its deadly living on the coastline. In another thing this is not strengthing at...This is hardly a depression hardly needs to be getting to nervous about.
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fasterdisaster
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#99 Postby fasterdisaster » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:08 pm

CHRISTY wrote:uh no.. not mitch this is suppose to move north.


look at the models...some go SW, some go due N, some go NE. So yes, it could be like Mitch.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#100 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:08 pm

CHRISTY wrote:uh no.. not mitch this is suppose to move north.


I was watching the weather channel when Mitch was going on. In they said when it was just a tropical storm it was expected to go north to.
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