My TD-24/Wilma Forecast

[Scorpion]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The map is rather crude but you get the idea. I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

[Brent]

[wxmann_91]

I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

What does it mean when a TC phases with a trough?

[hicksta]

Dude, using wundergrounds map may scare the crap out of the people.

[Brent]

I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

What does it mean when a TC phases with a trough?

Nightmare scenario. Lots of energy. Historic.

[fasterdisaster]

OMG!

A 125-135 mph hurricane hits about 25 miles south of where Charley did and crosses Florida. As a Category 2 hurricane it makes landfall on the Outer Banks and continues up the Eastern Seaboard finally weakening to a TS north of NYC! What a disaster!

[Scorpion]

DT as well as the Euro favor the idea quite well. Conditions have to be perfect, so we will have to see. We are overdue, however. There hasn't been something like this since Donna. It would be of historic proportions. Also, the hurricane would be moving over 40 mph, so the weakening would not be rapid.

[ohiostorm]

DT as well as the Euro favor the idea quite well. Conditions have to be perfect, so we will have to see. We are overdue, however. There hasn't been something like this since Donna. It would be of historic proportions. Also, the hurricane would be moving over 40 mph, so the weakening would not be rapid.

With the way this season has been anything is possible.

[wxmann_91]

I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

What does it mean when a TC phases with a trough?

Nightmare scenario. Lots of energy. Historic.

Be more specific. Do you mean a Floydlike scenario with catastrophic flooding up and down the already saturated east coast or that this hurricane rides up the east coast and does a Donna?

Pro mets - what does "phasing" mean? (This was my question from the beginning.)

[krysof]

if that track were to verify, we up here are in big trouble with flooding, we already picked up 10 inches of rain over the past week and if the track were correct we would pick up 10 inches in a day causing devastation

[tracyswfla]

OMG!

A 125-135 mph hurricane hits about 25 miles south of where Charley did and crosses Florida. As a Category 2 hurricane it makes landfall on the Outer Banks and continues up the Eastern Seaboard finally weakening to a TS north of NYC! What a disaster!

I am about 30-40 miles south of where Charley hit.

[PhillyWX]

I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

What does it mean when a TC phases with a trough?

Nightmare scenario. Lots of energy. Historic.

Be more specific. Do you mean a Floydlike scenario with catastrophic flooding up and down the already saturated east coast or that this hurricane rides up the east coast and does a Donna?

Pro mets - what does "phasing" mean? (This was my question from the beginning.)

phasing = merging of two or more systems and their associated airmasses.

Phasers with a tropical connection include Hazel from 1954 and Gladys from 1968. These phasers merge with an existing front/trough/low pressure system, resulting in a very powerful and multi-faceted storm. Tropical on one side, cold and possible snow on the cooler side. The tropical connection, in worst case phasing, is fast-moving and potent to begin with (as in the case of Hazel).

http://www.hurricanehazel.ca
This is a website you should visit for a discussion of what Hazel did to Canada -- hurricane conditions, 11 inches of rain, some of the worst flooding in Toronto's history.

[Josephine96]

I don't entirely like that you practically have it going right on top of my house here lol..

[Trader Ron]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The map is rather crude but you get the idea. I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

I think the chances of that EXACT track verifying, is about 5%. We'll see...

[jlauderdal]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The map is rather crude but you get the idea. I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

I think the chances of that EXACT track verifying, is about 5%. We'll see...

\

funny how the track goes right over the original posters head

[Hurricanehink]

I don't entirely like that you practically have it going right on top of my house here lol..

Same here
Don't like having the hurricane in NJ, but that's just me.

[Trader Ron]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The map is rather crude but you get the idea. I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

I think the chances of that EXACT track verifying, is about 5%. We'll see...

\

funny how the track goes right over the original posters head

And...right into New York City...

[wzrgirl1]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The map is rather crude but you get the idea. I like the idea of it phasing(either partially or fully) with the trough.

I think the chances of that EXACT track verifying, is about 5%. We'll see...

\

funny how the track goes right over the original posters head

Why must you always contradict what others post? Didn't your mom ever tell you that if you don't have anything nice to say........don't say anything at all?

[krysof]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200403.asp

here's Charley's track

[wzrgirl1]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200403.asp

here's Charley's track

could be a repeat..