NEW TD-24/Wilma Forecast

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Scorpion

NEW TD-24/Wilma Forecast

#1 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:55 am

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Updated map as required by Storm2k as well as added time markers. Same thinking, but a tiny bit faster and slower in intensifying.

Image
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#2 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:59 am

Thats pretty good forcast. I can agree on that forcast maybe a bit more to thre north though about 30 miles.
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#3 Postby Duffy » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:05 am

hmm looks like that Trough is going to grab it and pull it due North once it exits Florida....possibly a New England hit down the road
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Scorpion

#4 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:06 am

Duffy wrote:hmm looks like that Trough is going to grab it and pull it due North once it exits Florida....possibly a New England hit down the road


Yes thats what I still think. Would be extratropical probably but still a powerful storm.
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#5 Postby MzShell » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:14 am

I hope it wont hit SC from the NE quadrant side. That means tornado time, just like last year when Frances came through and brought 70 tornados. That's what I hate most about tropical systems visiting me.
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#6 Postby Trader Ron » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:58 am

I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?
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#7 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:03 am

Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Not at the angle this will be going... you'd need something like an Isabel-like track(going NW) only farther east...

Long Island would be plausible since it sticks out.
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#8 Postby Windtalker1 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:40 am

Too far North...I see this crossing over Keywest and coming up through the Monroe/Collier County line...clipping NW Dade County....West Central Broward County.....up through Central Palm Beach County and exiting around Jupiter on the East Coast and then heading up the Coast toward the Outer Banks of North Carolina. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Last edited by Windtalker1 on Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:41 am

Windtalker1 wrote:Too far North...I see this crossing over Keywest and coming up through the Monroe/Collier County line...clipping NW Dade County....West Central Broward County.....up through Central Palm Beach County and exiting around Jupiter on the East Coast and then heading up the Coast toward the Outer Banks of North Carolina.


Lol I sure hope not.
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Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:42 am

Thats right near jupiter :eek: :lol:
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#11 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:46 am

Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?



Hurricane Floyd 1999
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#12 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:48 am

Rainband wrote:Thats right near jupiter :eek: :lol:


You win the prize. :)
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Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:00 pm

Brent wrote:
Rainband wrote:Thats right near jupiter :eek: :lol:


You win the prize. :)
whats the prize :lol: ... waiting..............
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krysof

#14 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:06 pm

Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.
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#15 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:07 pm

krysof wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.


I REPEAT: HURRICANE FLOYD!
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krysof

#16 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:11 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:
krysof wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.


I REPEAT: HURRICANE FLOYD!


Floyd was a weak TS when it came up here, I had no problems with Floyd, the flooding was exaggerated and it wasn't bad here, though schools were closed for a day.
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#17 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:14 pm

krysof wrote:
fasterdisaster wrote:
krysof wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.


I REPEAT: HURRICANE FLOYD!


Floyd was a weak TS when it came up here, I had no problems with Floyd, the flooding was exaggerated and it wasn't bad here, though schools were closed for a day.


Okay...but it was a tropical system that landfalled in New Jersey. And Isabel could just as easily hit you.
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#18 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:15 pm

krysof wrote:
fasterdisaster wrote:
krysof wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.


I REPEAT: HURRICANE FLOYD!


Floyd was a weak TS when it came up here, I had no problems with Floyd, the flooding was exaggerated and it wasn't bad here, though schools were closed for a day.


Okay...but it was a tropical system that landfalled in New Jersey. And Isabel could have just as easily hit you.
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krysof

#19 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:17 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:
krysof wrote:
fasterdisaster wrote:
krysof wrote:
Trader Ron wrote:I would guess a track 60-90 miles North. I would also bet $50,000 , that ANY hurricane going up the East Coast does not make landfall in New Jersey.

When was the last time that happened?


Yep that's why I feel so safe living in New Jersey, I never worry about hurricanes because they will never strike here. Even a nearby hurricanes effects are weak because we are on the west side of a nearby hurricane.


I REPEAT: HURRICANE FLOYD!


Floyd was a weak TS when it came up here, I had no problems with Floyd, the flooding was exaggerated and it wasn't bad here, though schools were closed for a day.


Okay...but it was a tropical system that landfalled in New Jersey. And Isabel could just as easily hit you.


There was a point during Isabel when I was worried because its future pointed towards me, and it was a Cat 5, but to be honest I never believed that track, and even if it hit me, the storm would have weakened rapidly. I mean it was barely a Cat 2 in NC, It would barely be a TS if it hit here.
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#20 Postby gatorcane » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:35 pm

that track looks alot like Charley. I think farther north and the northeast turn won't be so drastic. :eek:
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