floridahurricaneguy wrote:edbri871 wrote:Sorry to sound rude. I don't normally post, only read. Being from Fort Myers Beach I am a little concerned. Having said this, its way too early to tell anything. It just gets on my nerves the way people misguide others by -removed-. The people in Tampa, say this is probably gonna be a tampa hit. The ones in south florida say its gonna hit south Fl. The members in the panhandle say it will hit them, and so on. I just find it so immature that some of you people consider yourselves knowledgable in this field when all you do is wishcast that the hurricane is coming for you.
Anywhere from The keys all the way to Alabama need to watch this, and really noone has more a chance then anyone else. The models will continue to flip flop over the next 5 days. It just amuses me that everyone says "its coming to my area", especially after all the damage we have see this year. Why do you want your local environment changed dramitcally, I know I love it here in Fort Myers Beach, and a hurricane would basically make a beautiful area a real mess, not to mention deaths and destruction.
Well I think your wrong and a lot ways. Not being rude either but there are smart people on here and some unsmart. A lot of us are making our forecast based off models. When the GFS ultimately seems to want keep bring it towards west florida then we are going to predict its going there. It would be dumb if models all have it hitting Pensacola to say oh its hitting Tampa. We go by research and models and forecast to the best of our ability.
Matt
Like one member says on here all the time, the name escapes me now, but he says, 'the safest place to be is right in the center of the models 5-7 days out'.
Not saying that is the case this time. I'm leaning toward more of a central fla west coast hit, mainly because i think its too early in October to be getting a cold front any further south then central florida. And I imagine the storm will track right along the frontal boundary NE'ward.
