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Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This thing has been doing nothing for 30 hours. I don't think this will be a dooms day storm. I think it will be Wilma...But there is no need to think this will be a Katrina or Rita type storm yet. Its a depression!
wxman57 wrote:ivanhater wrote:however, who is to say that will be there at that time...just yesterday it was looking good for a south florida hit, now the models shifted way west....things will change a lot between now and then, so i dont agree with the statement it will not turn and hit p'cola...i know you will say im "-removed-" but i have said many time i believe a tampa hit at this time, but i believe the panhandle needs to watch this unfolding situation very closely, dont you agree?
It is true that the GFS will likely go through changes over the next 3-5 days. But it's not just the GFS that is forecasting the deepening trof across the central U.S. by late next week. The ECMWF is as well. A WNW-NW flow aloft through Pensacola by next Friday/Saturday True, the ECMWF could be wrong, too. However, given the present and recent past weather pattern across the U.S. (progressive pattern with regular weekly fronts), I would tend to think that the trof/front will be there next Friday and that the mid and upper-level winds across the northern Gulf will be from the west to northwest. That would prevent a Pensacola hit.
I do think this storm has a few big surprises up its sleeve, but a north track toward Pensacola is probably not one of them. Besides, I'll be traveling over your way (sort of) on Wednesday to rebuild my mother's hme in Gautier, MS (by Biloxi). Had 50 sheets of drywall delivered yesterday. I have to replace all the drywall below 4 feet, all the doors, and all trim. Certainly don't need any hurricane threat. And I'm not reverse-wishcasting.
Sun Oct 16, 2005
Flooded main roads leave residents cut off
File photo
The National Works Agency (NWA) says it has received reports that at least 29 main roads are flooded.
Senior Communication Officer of the NWA, Petre Keane-Williams, says the agency has started to clear some of the roads which were blocked.
She says St. Thomas has been particularly hard hit by the flood rains but it has not been as bad in the neighbouring St. Mary.
Meanwhile, Member of Parliament for Western St. Thomas, James Robertson, is expressing concern for residents of a number of communities in the parish which have been cut off due to flooding.
Mr. Robertson is most concerned about persons who have to use the Yallahs Fording, which is the main link between St. Thomas with the Corporate Area.
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Scorpion wrote:Its looking quite good. I just don't know why it wont consolidate further though.
so far tonight everything I'm reading is bad news for Tampa Bay. The GFS has it over Tampa Bay at day 7 (Mon.)
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