Wilma,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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Regit
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#281 Postby Regit » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:44 pm

Maybe I just missed it getting buried in the many posts, but I'm curious as to how long it'll take for someone to suggest that Wilma will skip across Florida, a high will build in, and it will go back to the East coast. :lol: We'll see. Actually, that scenario is just as likely as some I've heard on the net the last couple of days.
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#282 Postby gtalum » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:46 pm

Well the new NHC forecast path if extrapolated on around seems to have Wilma scrape by Key West and then out into the Atlantic without greatly impacting mainland Florida.
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#283 Postby Recurve » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:50 pm

f5 wrote:Katrina&Rita took up almost the entire GOM i hope Wilma doesn't do the same.a wide area of CAT 1 winds can do just as much damage as a CAT 3 or 4 beacuse they last longer than your average hurricane



Yes sir. I don't want to see what kind of surge SW winds from a big slow Cat 1 even can set up along the keys.
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#284 Postby gtalum » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:50 pm

If she heads much further south she'll have a hard time curving around without getting torn to shreds in the mountains of Honduras or Nicaragua.
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#285 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:58 pm

that forecast track has Wilma moving right through the metro areas, if you extrapolate it
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#286 Postby Steve H. » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:01 pm

The NHC forecast track is a south-central Florida peninsula hit; if extrapolated. :roll:
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#287 Postby LSue » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:05 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek:

I don't want to see any of my SW Florida neighbors (or anyone else for that matter) get a nasty visit from Wilma!

Keeping a vigilant watch here in Naples...
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#288 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:06 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:that forecast track has Wilma moving right through the metro areas, if you extrapolate it


I thought so... I was like "scraping Key West"? Not unless it turns more beyond that...
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#289 Postby f5 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:07 pm

gtalum wrote:If she heads much further south she'll have a hard time curving around without getting torn to shreds in the mountains of Honduras or Nicaragua.


they are still trying to recover from Stan any additional rain will just cause more deaths
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#290 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:44 pm

CDO is starting to cover the center.
Image

should start to get interesting soon. It looks like she has a large circulation on visible this thing should be pretty impressive. Late bloomer here
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#291 Postby tracyswfla » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:45 pm

Looking large and in charge!
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#292 Postby skysummit » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:46 pm

YUP...those cold cloud tops are beginning to fire real nicely around the center. It should begin to look pretty impressive in the next few hours.
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#293 Postby jhamps10 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:53 pm

yep, she looks very good out there.
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#294 Postby TampaFl » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:55 pm

Any chance that Wilma could follow a similar track to the Hurricane of Oct. 25, 1921 that affected the Tampa Bay area as the last major hurricane to hit here? Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)



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#295 Postby x-y-no » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:57 pm

18Z GFS run is coming out now - out to 54 hours so far.

Track has shifted back right a little bit - pretty much like the 6Z run so far.

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#296 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:07 pm

90 hours...

Image
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#297 Postby x-y-no » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:08 pm

18Z GFS at 78 hours: Crossing western tip of Cuba

Image

Position and synoptics almost identical to the 6Z run - main difference is the system is a little weaker in this run.
Last edited by x-y-no on Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#298 Postby Brent » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:10 pm

Approaching the Keys... Friday Night at 8pm.

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#299 Postby x-y-no » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:12 pm

Too d*** close for comfort, IMHO.
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#300 Postby artist » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:12 pm

anyone seen the latest vortex message - seems we have an eye - go check out the recon thread.
Last edited by artist on Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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