Alpha on the horizon?

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cycloneye
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Alpha on the horizon?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:27 am

339
ABNT20 KNHC 171521
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM WILMA... LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF GRAND CAYMAN.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND SPORADIC...AND NO SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Nothing bullish there but being 2005 you never know.
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abajan
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#2 Postby abajan » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:32 am

I was about to post a question about this system east of the Windward Islands but I guess this TWO answers it.
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#3 Postby El Nino » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:48 am

Some interesting convection, but need to be organised. Worth keeping an eye though ...
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Anthonyl
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#4 Postby Anthonyl » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:15 am

I think clearification is needed to ajudge what really is the forecasted wind shear tendency ahead of this potent system east of the islands. Accuweather officials are hinting on winds becoming more favorable as this inoquous system progresses westward.NHC in the TWO are suggesting contrary.
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#5 Postby patsmsg » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:47 am

It doesn't look like Alpha to me.
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#6 Postby EDR1222 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 11:48 am

If it can hold together and make it into the Central Caribbean, it may have a chance.
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#7 Postby tornadochaser86 » Mon Oct 17, 2005 4:40 pm

ya thats true but right now its looking like wilma did at first very disorganized
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