Convection deeper -- Wilma revving up - 3.5/3.5.....

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:28 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Scorpion · #2 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:30 pm

Perhaps. Hopefully she keeps that convection this time.

Recurve · #3 Postby **Recurve** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 12:19 am

Quite a blob firing up way over there in the southern Bahamas, and also right near the center.
Drifting WSW? Definitely coming together.

tornadochaser86 · #4 Postby **tornadochaser86** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 12:23 am

finally shes getting it together now she may become

#5 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:32 am

Recurve wrote:Quite a blob firing up way over there in the southern Bahamas, and also right near the center.
Drifting WSW? Definitely coming together.

The convection this morning is awesome -- even though it appears to be SW of the center. I do think this will be a major 'cane. The SSTs in the NW caribbean must be extremely volatile.

Website · #6 Postby **Brent** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:33 am

Yeah... that's about the coldest cloudtops I've ever seen. I think recon is going to find a much stronger storm.

#7 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:35 am

Brent wrote:Yeah... that's about the coldest cloudtops I've ever seen. I think recon is going to find a much stronger storm.

I agree, Brent. A 'Cane by tonight?

no advance · #8 Postby **no advance** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:35 am

Brent she is looking more like Mitch than I ever would of thought. Never seen those high clouds like that.

#9 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:47 am

17/1145 UTC 16.6N 79.4W T3.0/3.0 WILMA -- Atlantic Ocean

#10 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 9:50 am

i hope this is not right

quandary · #11 Postby **quandary** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:02 am

Scorpion wrote:Perhaps. Hopefully she keeps that convection this time.

Why hope that? Its a TS already. Now just let it die.

Nimbus · #12 Postby **Nimbus** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 10:05 am

The circulation is still quite broad so as the NHC pointed out she has been taking her time winding up.

The convection has been mostly in the southern part of the circulation overnight but it looks like some banding is beginning to wind in on the northern side as well.

The important thing about the future track is whether Wilma landfalls on the Yucatan before entering the gulf. Not only for the residents in Mexico but also for the intensity forecast at second landfall. A short track through the YC into Florida would be a sure disaster for Florida. Crossing the Yucatan would weaken Wilma and a longer track through the cooler gulf gives shear a chance to tear her up.

HardCard · #13 Postby **HardCard** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:04 pm

quandary wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Perhaps. Hopefully she keeps that convection this time.

Why hope that? Its a TS already. Now just let it die.

My sentiments exactly... I live roughly 2 miles from downtown New Orleans..... Do you REALLY think I want to see another monster this season or any season in the near future?

Think before you post please.

bahamaswx · #14 Postby **bahamaswx** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:12 pm

HardCard wrote:
quandary wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Perhaps. Hopefully she keeps that convection this time.

Why hope that? Its a TS already. Now just let it die.

My sentiments exactly... I live roughly 2 miles from downtown New Orleans..... Do you REALLY think I want to see another monster this season or any season in the near future?

Think before you post please.

We're all weather buffs here. It should be expected that the majority of the posters would enjoy tracking monster canes over fizzling tropical storms any day of the week.

JamesFromMaine2 · #15 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 3:20 pm

HardCard wrote:
quandary wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Perhaps. Hopefully she keeps that convection this time.

Why hope that? Its a TS already. Now just let it die.

My sentiments exactly... I live roughly 2 miles from downtown New Orleans..... Do you REALLY think I want to see another monster this season or any season in the near future?

Think before you post please.

He posted that before She became wilma if you notice the date and time it was posted! At that time she was going to have to maintain convection in order to become Wilma which she did and as of 5am this morning became wilma!

#16 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:05 pm

17/1745 UTC 15.7N 79.6W T3.5/3.5 WILMA -- Atlantic Ocean

Getting stronger now...

artist · #17 Postby **artist** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:09 pm

HardCard - if you saw the headline from Netscape earlier that it could be heaeded your way - just to make you feel better and from what most of the mets I know are saying - it will probably come back towards Florida - not La.

jkt21787 · #18 Postby **jkt21787** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:10 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:17/1745 UTC 15.7N 79.6W T3.5/3.5 WILMA -- Atlantic Ocean

Getting stronger now...

that 3.5 was reported before recon was in the storm, and recon determined winds were only 50 mph, so the 3.5 isn't supported well at all at this time.

grphcdsgn6 · #19 Postby **grphcdsgn6** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 5:50 pm

as water temps are cold here now and could never support a hurricane. It is freezing in the gulf now, around 73 degrees on the surface.

#20 Postby **tracyswfla** » Mon Oct 17, 2005 6:09 pm

grphcdsgn6 wrote:as water temps are cold here now and could never support a hurricane. It is freezing in the gulf now, around 73 degrees on the surface.

Where are you?

Convection deeper -- Wilma revving up - 3.5/3.5.....

Convection deeper -- Wilma revving up - 3.5/3.5.....

I hope it heads north to Pensacola gulf coast area

Re: I hope it heads north to Pensacola gulf coast area

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