Nevermind...it's the NAM. (Lower left)
***NOTE: This is showing the 06z GFS still.
Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5
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I just posted in the Tropical Analysis, but in case I don't get an answer I thought I'd ask here:
I have two questions: How far inland does storm surge go? I live on a river that flows into charlotte harbor but I'm probably 7miles up river, if the storm was cat 3 or more and came in to the north of us, would storm surge affect us.
2. A hurricane is tropical moisture and if I understand correctly, its a cold front that is going to pick it up, will the clash of cold front and tropical cause worse or more tornado activity with this storm?
I have two questions: How far inland does storm surge go? I live on a river that flows into charlotte harbor but I'm probably 7miles up river, if the storm was cat 3 or more and came in to the north of us, would storm surge affect us.
2. A hurricane is tropical moisture and if I understand correctly, its a cold front that is going to pick it up, will the clash of cold front and tropical cause worse or more tornado activity with this storm?
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Trader Ron
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jenshops wrote:I just posted in the Tropical Analysis, but in case I don't get an answer I thought I'd ask here:
I have two questions: How far inland does storm surge go? I live on a river that flows into charlotte harbor but I'm probably 7miles up river, if the storm was cat 3 or more and came in to the north of us, would storm surge affect us.
Check with your local officials. They would know. A large storm surge can go far inland, but it depends on elevation.
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Weatherboy1
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not evacuating here...
Despite the fact I'm in Jupiter, FL -- basically right underneath the "black line" on the NHC's forecast path -- I don't plan to evacuate for this. It's only a Cat 2. I'm not in an evac zone. I don't expect flooding to be a major issue since the system should be moving very quickly. And my house is new construction (finished in Nov. 2004). Bottom line: I believe it's best to stay put unless this thing balloons into some Cat 5 monster like Mitch (highly doubtful). Lastly, I think Wilma could -- and I emphasize "could" -- rapidly weaken once she makes that sharp turn. Remember what happened to Michelle in 2001. She fell apart between Cuba and Nassau in the Bahamas due to shear, strong westerlies, dry air, etc. -- some of the same factors that will be in place once Wilma leaves the NW Caribbean. While I certainly plan to prepare for this storm, I am by no means panicking.
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MiamiensisWx
Weatherboy1 wrote:Despite the fact I'm in Jupiter, FL -- basically right underneath the "black line" on the NHC's forecast path -- I don't plan to evacuate for this. It's only a Cat 2. I'm not in an evac zone. I don't expect flooding to be a major issue since the system should be moving very quickly. And my house is new construction (finished in Nov. 2004). Bottom line: I believe it's best to stay put unless this thing balloons into some Cat 5 monster like Mitch (highly doubtful). Lastly, I think Wilma could -- and I emphasize "could" -- rapidly weaken once she makes that sharp turn. Remember what happened to Michelle in 2001. She fell apart between Cuba and Nassau in the Bahamas due to shear, strong westerlies, dry air, etc. -- some of the same factors that will be in place once Wilma leaves the NW Caribbean. While I certainly plan to prepare for this storm, I am by no means panicking.
True... however, if it moves quick enough it might still be a Category Three at landfall.
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Terry
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Jenshops --- check locally, newpapers, etc. for surge info.
Here on Anna Maria Island/Bradenton/Tampa Bay area, the surge prediction for a Katrina-type storm is fifteen miles inland, eleven feet of water in downtown Bradenton, most structures pulverized on the island and other flooding issues up the Manatee River (that's just from the surge, not the winds). I haven't checked for a Cat 3 nor do I know how your elevations compare.
Here on Anna Maria Island/Bradenton/Tampa Bay area, the surge prediction for a Katrina-type storm is fifteen miles inland, eleven feet of water in downtown Bradenton, most structures pulverized on the island and other flooding issues up the Manatee River (that's just from the surge, not the winds). I haven't checked for a Cat 3 nor do I know how your elevations compare.
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