tampa/central florida hit???????????

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

will wilma hit .........

keys
5
6%
south fl.
53
61%
central fl.
26
30%
big bend area
2
2%
bahama's
1
1%
 
Total votes: 87

Message
Author
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

tampa/central florida hit???????????

#1 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:14 pm

another model along with the one from yesterday shifted over downtown orlando and another shifted to central floirda looks more and more that a possible tampa landfall??????????? but we will have to wait and see on what wilma wants to do!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:



P.S. Look at this a possible jog/wobble to the west???????????http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

#2 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:17 pm

can someone put tampa and add it to the central/tampa or tampa/central florida please????????????
0 likes   

jax

#3 Postby jax » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:17 pm

based on the current NHC forcast... looks like the gators
in the glades will get hit hardest by Wilma. Keys will likely
be the most effected populas area.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#4 Postby skysummit » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:19 pm

Despite me trying to agree with a very southern landfall, I'm going to stick with my thoughts yesterday....Cedar Key, Fl. so I'm the lonely one with the Big Bend. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

#5 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:21 pm

skysummit wrote:Despite me trying to agree with a very southern landfall, I'm going to stick with my thoughts yesterday....Cedar Key, Fl. so I'm the lonely one with the Big Bend. :D


hehe im not making or tring toi make a forcast but my thoughtss are around tampa bay and possible threw the orlando area..
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#6 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:25 pm

I'm leaning, so far, pretty strongly with a southern Florida landfall.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#7 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:26 pm

Tampa is a very real possibility still.
0 likes   

User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

#8 Postby gtalum » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:29 pm

I see Naples or a bit south of there. I am retracting my bet that Tampa Bay won't feel anything though, especially if you include Sarasota and Manatee counties in the Tampa Bay region.
0 likes   

User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#9 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 12:32 pm

I would say South Florida or through the straits of Florida.
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

#10 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:09 pm

more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
melhow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 362
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:00 pm
Location: Safety Harbor, FL

#11 Postby melhow » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:13 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:


I was wondering this the first time you posted it, so I'll ask this go around:

Which models, exactly, are you talking about?
0 likes   

User avatar
gtalum
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4749
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Bradenton, FL
Contact:

#12 Postby gtalum » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:14 pm

Yeah, as I see it more and more models are saying South Florida. The last Central Florida holdout was the GFDL, and it's in south Florida now.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bgator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 649
Joined: Mon Sep 05, 2005 12:29 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#13 Postby Bgator » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:15 pm

melhow wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:more and more models head it to central florida but one model at a time i think :eek: :eek:


I was wondering this the first time you posted it, so I'll ask this go around:

Which models, exactly, are you talking about?


I have seen model shift more and more south EXCEPT GFDl which has stayed between Sarasota and naples, which modlels u talkin about?
0 likes   

bucman1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:59 am

#14 Postby bucman1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:17 pm

the models will continue to shift until all the atmospheric data is in.

We have seen they sometimes switch run to run.

More changes to come -i'm sure
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

#15 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:18 pm

ok so now they shifted again but it had two models over orlando this morning!!!!!!! here are the models and the new changes......................


http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_24.gif
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#16 Postby skysummit » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:18 pm

Hey...who else picked the Big Bend besides me???
0 likes   

floridahurricaneguy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 10:37 pm
Location: Tampa,FL
Contact:

#17 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:20 pm

Hmm.. Looks like it just maybe a regular week here in Tampa. What are the chances are of it possibly getting shifted for more North?

Matt
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

#18 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:21 pm

the UKMET AND THE GDFL both were over orlando
0 likes   

User avatar
melhow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 362
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:00 pm
Location: Safety Harbor, FL

#19 Postby melhow » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:25 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:the UKMET AND THE GDFL both were over orlando


Yes. Eight hours ago. You started this thread at 1:14, so two hours and 10 minutes ago, when all but ONE of the models had already shifted well south. What's up with that?
0 likes   

User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:

#20 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Oct 18, 2005 2:42 pm

skysummit wrote:Hey...who else picked the Big Bend besides me???


I said North of Tampa to the Big Bend yesterday. Not making another prediction...lol
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], HurricaneFan, StormWeather, Teban54 and 303 guests