Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[Lowpressure]

as far as wilma goes Katrina's spirit will expand the size while Rita's spirit causes the pressure to go haywired insane

WHAT?

[jkt21787]

F5, that made absolutely no sense whatsoever and I'm afraid to ask what it means.

[kevin]

Unscientific voodoo is driving me insane.

[Foladar0]

Amazing.
100mph .. 953mb pressure as of 8

[truballer#1]

some off guys are getting crazy with this hurricane like katrina and rita combined, But i agree its getting pretty strong

[f5]

I cant recall a time where I saw a CDO that had that cold of clud tops with it before... Damn!! She looks like she is going to town now people..




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

I,too, have never seen a hurricane before with such cold cloud tops around the eye,this is just amazing. This is like Katrina and Rita are combining to make a super hurricane.

It looks like A Katrina/Rita do over .Wilma expands in size along with insane pressure drops

[tampaflwx]

he's saying that the "spirit" of Hurricane Katrina will make this thing grow in physical size and the "spirit" of Rita will increase the intensity by lowering its pressure. I think he was just referring to the fact that earlier in the season there were two storms that had insane growth and intensity changes, and that the similar types of things might happen with this storm

[nequad]

WHXX04 KWBC 182329
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 18

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 16.7 81.1 305./ 7.0
6 17.0 81.9 293./ 8.7
12 17.1 82.8 273./ 8.7
18 17.2 83.4 286./ 5.6
24 17.6 84.1 301./ 7.3
30 17.9 84.6 300./ 6.0
36 18.4 85.1 313./ 6.7
42 18.9 85.5 323./ 6.6
48 19.7 85.8 340./ 8.1
54 20.5 85.9 350./ 8.5
60 21.3 86.2 343./ 7.6
66 22.0 86.3 345./ 7.1
72 22.6 86.2 11./ 6.7
78 23.3 85.8 34./ 7.9
84 24.0 85.3 36./ 8.1
90 24.9 84.3 47./12.3
96 25.9 82.9 55./16.8
102 27.4 80.8 53./23.4
108 29.3 78.3 54./29.2
114 32.0 75.1 49./38.7
120 35.3 71.7 46./43.9
126 38.7 68.2 45./43.6

[txwatcher91]

F5, that made absolutely no sense whatsoever and I'm afraid to ask what it means.

What we were trying to say was that Katrina might somehow be reincarnated in Wilma to produce a huge storm and Rita to lower the pressures. They figure they might as well make the last letter of the alphabet a doozee

[fasterdisaster]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 182341
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

...WILMA UNDERGOING RAPID INTENSIFICATION...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS
WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A
HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES...
295 KM... SOUTH OF GRAND CAYMAN.

WHILE THE CENTER HAS WOBBLED A LITTLE WESTWARD OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...WILMA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8
MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES WILMA A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS FALLING RAPIDLY... AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. NOAA BUOY 42057 NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH... 88 KM/HR...WITH A
GUST OF 63 MPH... 101 KM/HR.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...JAMAICA...HAITI...AND CUBA. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...16.7 N... 81.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[floridahurricaneguy]

When do next model runs come out?

[f5]

Katrina
Rita
Wilma

every destructive storm with CAT 5 status has had a letter"A" at the end which has alot of irony with it

[gatorcane]

all S. Florida can hope for is that it turns more to the ENE quicker or that it weakens at the last second because right now it looks like we are in big trouble...

[inotherwords]

Katrina
Rita
Wilma

every destructive storm with CAT 5 status has had a letter"A" at the end which has alot of irony with it

What about Ophelia, Maria.

Stop with the voodoo mythology.

[Brent]

Yeah... if this is a Cat 4 in the morning, panic is going to ensue.

[Brent]

When do next model runs come out?

Within the next hour.

[tronbunny]

<snip>
84 24.0 85.3 36./ 8.1
90 24.9 84.3 47./12.3
96 25.9 82.9 55./16.8
102 27.4 80.8 53./23.4
108 29.3 78.3 54./29.2
<snip>

Looks like a Ft. Meyers to Melbourne/Vero peninsula path!

Even being on the left side, doesn't look nice for Orlando.. but it may be quick, eh?

[f5]

watch the Media's reaction tomorrow they will be all over it.Painting that worst case scenario that Wilma will hit Tampa Bay the same way they said Rita was going to tear Houston to pieces

[Weatherboy1]

I know it is disconcerting, to say the least, to see Wilma undergoing this rapid intensificatio. But remember: She was FORECAST to do this in the next 24 hours or so, it just seems to be coming a bit early. She is also forecast to weaken before making a FL landfall, and I think that is likely given that she'll be interacting with a cold front boundary, will be farther north and hence travelling over colder water, etc. So I would -- at this point -- not panic or worry about a Cat 4 barreling over South FL. I think a Cat 2 is still in the cards. Of course, if SHIPS and the GFDL start maintaining high strength forecasts right up until landfall, that's when I'll start getting much more nervous.

[ColinDelia]

watch the Media's reaction tomorrow they will be all over it.Painting that worst case scenario that Wilma will hit Tampa Bay the same way they said Rita was going to tear Houston to pieces

And then blame the NHC IF it hits south of there

Familiar story.