Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Opal storm

#541 Postby Opal storm » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:06 pm

f5 wrote:watch the Media's reaction tomorrow they will be all over it.Painting that worst case scenario that Wilma will hit Tampa Bay the same way they said Rita was going to tear Houston to pieces

Wilma making a direct hit on Tampa is a very possible scenario right now,it's not hype at all.
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Scorpion

#542 Postby Scorpion » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:07 pm

INSANE. I have never seen a CDO that cold. This will be a Cat 5 tomorrow, mark my words. I am just in a loss for words. And this time, it is coming straight at me. This is turning out to be the most impressive drop I have ever seen. 970 at 430, 953 at 8. Just INCREDIBLE.
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#543 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:08 pm

f5 wrote:watch the Media's reaction tomorrow they will be all over it.Painting that worst case scenario that Wilma will hit Tampa Bay the same way they said Rita was going to tear Houston to pieces


Well the NHC had Rita destroying Houston for a couple of days as well.
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Foladar0

#544 Postby Foladar0 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:09 pm

Scorpion wrote:INSANE. I have never seen a CDO that cold. This will be a Cat 5 tomorrow, mark my words. I am just in a loss for words. And this time, it is coming straight at me. This is turning out to be the most impressive drop I have ever seen. 970 at 430, 953 at 8. Just INCREDIBLE.

And if it isn't a Cat 5?
I wouldn't say it isn't possible, but I wouldn't worry people more than needed.
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StormFury

#545 Postby StormFury » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:10 pm

Opal storm wrote:
f5 wrote:watch the Media's reaction tomorrow they will be all over it.Painting that worst case scenario that Wilma will hit Tampa Bay the same way they said Rita was going to tear Houston to pieces

Wilma making a direct hit on Tampa is a very possible scenario right now,it's not hype at all.


possible but I guess not probable
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truballer#1

#546 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:11 pm

check this out!
Image
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Dave C
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wow

#547 Postby Dave C » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:11 pm

Look at water vapor
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg
The dry air is being pushed away to the west as the upper ridge over Wilma expands westward.
Last edited by Dave C on Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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JamesFromMaine2
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#548 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:11 pm

I don't know if Wilma will be a cat 5 or not but lets just put it this way her chances of becoming a cat 5 has just gotting a whole lot better!
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#549 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:12 pm

Scorpion wrote:INSANE. I have never seen a CDO that cold. This will be a Cat 5 tomorrow, mark my words. I am just in a loss for words. And this time, it is coming straight at me. This is turning out to be the most impressive drop I have ever seen. 970 at 430, 953 at 8. Just INCREDIBLE.


we thought Rita was insane .THe whole season has been insane to the best of my knowledge
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hicksta
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#550 Postby hicksta » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:13 pm

Hmm memories of 4 weeks ago.
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truballer#1

#551 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:13 pm

yea look at those white spots! very moist
Image
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krysof

#552 Postby krysof » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:14 pm

truballer#1 wrote:yea look at those white spots! very moist
Image


amazing how rapidly its developing with all that dry air to its north
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Blown Away
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#553 Postby Blown Away » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:16 pm

Is it just me, everybody is talking about Tampa, Naples, Ft. Lauderdale, etc. but you cant ignore the fact that the models are shifting slightly S each run. If I was in the Keys I would be really nervous rate now. I know the NHC track is Naples to WPB rate now. The Ukmet, GFS, and BAM's are S of the peninsula. The other models are creeping S w/ each run. I trust the NHC and I am interested to hear Ortt's update.
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#554 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:17 pm

Wilma headed toward CAT 5 at this rate. Indeed very rapid intensification is occurring.
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Dave C
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ya

#555 Postby Dave C » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:17 pm

As Steve Lyons mentioned the inner-core is being protected from the dry air as the overall size of the storm enlarges.
Last edited by Dave C on Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Jim Cantore

#556 Postby Jim Cantore » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:18 pm

has anyone seen the water vapor? its impressive
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#557 Postby Weather Watcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:18 pm

Scorpion wrote:INSANE. I have never seen a CDO that cold. This will be a Cat 5 tomorrow, mark my words. I am just in a loss for words. And this time, it is coming straight at me. This is turning out to be the most impressive drop I have ever seen. 970 at 430, 953 at 8. Just INCREDIBLE.
:eek: :eek: :eek: Yipes!!! I cant believe the pressure drop! I am praying for all who have to encounter such a storm.

Steve
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Jim Cantore

#558 Postby Jim Cantore » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:19 pm

IR is too
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f5
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#559 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:19 pm

another record 3 CAT 5s in one season maybe 4 depend on Emily's reanalysis
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#560 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 7:19 pm

another record 3 CAT 5s in one season maybe 4 depend on Emily's reanalysis
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