Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[wzrgirl1]

Just hypothetically, if it did hit SW FLorida at that wind speed, how much would you deduct from that by the time it got into Broward County?

1 category probably..........I would think that the everglades would not weaken her much....as with Katrina I think she maintained her strength

[tracyswfla]

The SHIP is now forecasting it to be around 120KT at landfall on the southwest coast of Florida.

Excuse me While I clean the puke off my keyboard..

uhhhh I beat you to it~

You cleaned the puke off of his keyboard first? Sorry, couldn't resist

It's ok.. I thought the same thing after I clicked submit.. You made me laugh! Thank you!

[cjrciadt]

I left at 5=80mph and 970mb
now at 8-100mph and 954mb
By 8am wed.= 130mph and 934mb

[n o o d l z]

Just hypothetically, if it did hit SW FLorida at that wind speed, how much would you deduct from that by the time it got into Broward County?

1 category probably..........I would think that the everglades would not weaken her much....as with Katrina I think she maintained her strength

IF it made landfall at that windspeed (which I don't think it will)...it would easily be a category 2 in my opinion. It will be moving way too fast to weaken that much over the peninsula.

[floridahurricaneguy]

I have no clue then why I was under the understanding that it would be north if it went more west. Very confused now.

Matt

[tronbunny]

Is it just me, or does the last Bamm run still look too south?

But do note they're more north than earlier

[jkt21787]

I have no clue then why I was under the understanding that it would be north if it went more west. Very confused now.

Matt

I'm not sure. If it moves more west, it will give the time for the trough to move south and pick it up sooner, meaning tracking further south overall.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Is it just me, or does the last Bamm run still look too south?

But do note they're more north than earlier

Bamms Are like Pissing in the wind...They suck up here

[tronbunny]

Is it just me, or does the last Bamm run still look too south?

But do note they're more north than earlier

Bamms Are like Pissing in the wind...They suck up here

OK, new rule of thumb... north of 20, just don't look at Bamm anymore.
Works for me

[floridahurricaneguy]

I have no clue then why I was under the understanding that it would be north if it went more west. Very confused now.

Matt

I'm not sure. If it moves more west, it will give the time for the trough to move south and pick it up sooner, meaning tracking further south overall.

So I guess this all means more and more likely that it would be any more north then track showss.

Matt

[WindRunner]

Oh, I also didn't realize that 90kts went to 105mph. They sure do change their minds quick.

[cjrciadt]

pinhole eye almost visable.

[EFrancis]

So it was 80 MPH at 5 PM, what can we expect at the 11 PM update?

I'm thinking 95 to 105...

[jkt21787]

So it was 80 MPH at 5 PM, what can we expect at the 11 PM update?

I'm thinking 95 to 105...

The 8 pm update was already 100 mph, and the models initialized at 105 mph so 105 mph is likely at 11 PM.

[Damar91]

Any ideas when this n-nw turn might start happening? Sure does look like it's still headed west.

[bahamaswx]

So it was 80 MPH at 5 PM, what can we expect at the 11 PM update?

I'm thinking 95 to 105...

Without recon out there they'll probably be hesistant to up the winds much more, and with good reason. I'd expect no higher than 110mph.

[dhweather]

ummm, i noticed its continuing to go almost due west and missing the forecast points...is this another situation where it continues to keep going west like ivan and katrina?

I'm noticing that... it's still going to make a sharp turn though. That's why I'm not completely buying this "skirt the tip of Florida" yet.

I'm not buying it either Brent. Something is wrong. It would almost have to do a perfect U turn to "skirt" the tip.

This looks more and more like a Ft. Myers to Tampa event. And the further west it wobbles, that's not good for moi.

very true.

[truballer#1]

here is the new gfdl
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

[floridahurricaneguy]

ummm, i noticed its continuing to go almost due west and missing the forecast points...is this another situation where it continues to keep going west like ivan and katrina?

I'm noticing that... it's still going to make a sharp turn though. That's why I'm not completely buying this "skirt the tip of Florida" yet.

I'm not buying it either Brent. Something is wrong. It would almost have to do a perfect U turn to "skirt" the tip.

This looks more and more like a Ft. Myers to Tampa event. And the further west it wobbles, that's not good for moi.

very true.

What makes it look more Tampa to Ft MYers. Sorry I dont know. lol

[Brent]

Actually... from what I understand, the farther west it goes, the sharper the turn, so if this westward motion continues, that actually increases the chance of it skirting South Florida or missing all together.