Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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johngaltfla
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#661 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 8:53 pm

Scorpion wrote:I think this has the opportunity to break the Atlantic MSLP record.


No way?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? :eek:

Why or what is your reasoning may I ask....
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#662 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 8:54 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I think this has the opportunity to break the Atlantic MSLP record.


No way?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? :eek:

Why or what is your reasoning may I ask....



Just that its setting up to be more impressive then Katrina or Rita...
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#663 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 8:56 pm

Uhh, how. Not that I'm Disagreeing.
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#664 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 8:58 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I think this has the opportunity to break the Atlantic MSLP record.


No way?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? :eek:

Why or what is your reasoning may I ask....



Just that its setting up to be more impressive then Katrina or Rita...


Hmmm, that could really suck for us Tampa Bay to Sarasota area residents. Especially if it misses the first trough.

I mean this weekend could be really really bad.

And why are we getting all our major hurricanes on SATURDAYS OR SUNDAYS for Pete's sake?!?!?!?!?!???
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#665 Postby sweetpea » Tue Oct 18, 2005 8:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I think this has the opportunity to break the Atlantic MSLP record.


No way?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!? :eek:

Why or what is your reasoning may I ask....



Just that its setting up to be more impressive then Katrina or Rita...


No offense but I REALLY hope you are wrong. :eek:
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#666 Postby wxman57 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:01 pm

These graphics show max potential intensity 880-890mb in the NW Caribbean. I think it's going to be a Cat 5 by tomorrow afternoon:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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#667 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:02 pm

wxman57 wrote:These graphics show max potential intensity 880-890mb in the NW Caribbean. I think it's going to be a Cat 5 by tomorrow afternoon:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL


Oh come on ! I don't doubt you. But WOW

What do you think about the west movement and the track?
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#668 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:02 pm

Wow, another potential Cat. 5 :eek:
Given the low pressures already, could it possibly be close to Katrina and Rita pressure wise?
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#669 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:03 pm

:eek: I hope that this is wrong very wrong. We have had enough this year.
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#670 Postby JPmia » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:03 pm

wxman57 wrote:These graphics show max potential intensity 880-890mb in the NW Caribbean. I think it's going to be a Cat 5 by tomorrow afternoon:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL


Notice the blue all the way to the SW/S FL coast. I hope this shear kicks in at the right time.
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#671 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:04 pm

wxman57 wrote:These graphics show max potential intensity 880-890mb in the NW Caribbean. I think it's going to be a Cat 5 by tomorrow afternoon:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#672 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:06 pm

Brent wrote:
wxman57 wrote:These graphics show max potential intensity 880-890mb in the NW Caribbean. I think it's going to be a Cat 5 by tomorrow afternoon:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:


Well, that could drastically change the modeling; yes or no?

Regardless, if it hits the low 880's I think I'll soil my shorts then change and evacuate. A cat 4 coming into here would create, well, what Sarsota looked like 90 years ago.

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#673 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:07 pm

I think the fan is starting to turn...In I would guest you would know what I mean by that...

:eek:
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#674 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:08 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I think the fan is starting to turn...In I would guest you would know what I mean by that...

:eek:


Yes. 36 hours of model shifts northward and the fan smells really, really bad.

Of course if it cranks down to 880-890 mb's, then the fan in Naples will be disconnected and relocated before it can reek.

Ouch. This could reshape OUR coastline much like Katrina did Louisiana's.

That's a scarey thought. I hope they start to evac Marco Island in 36 hours. I really do.
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SouthFloridawx
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hey

#675 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:14 pm

I just want to know why this thing isn't strictly following the path the NHC has layed out for it. Just follow the path with no deviations and weaken....


anyway my question is why does it keep moving west instead of north west....
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#676 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:14 pm

Local Met Dennis Phillips 2 SCENARIOS-
A gulf of alaska low has to combine with the Southwest US low
to keep storm in South FL. = ENE across FL

If this combining does not happen, landfall may be further north-
Accuweather says this combining may not happen; Right now they
do not appear to be combining = NNE across FL
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Scorpion

#677 Postby Scorpion » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:15 pm

Rapid intensification. Could pull a Mitch.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#678 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:17 pm

It could very well pull a Mitch. Heck hurricanes doing this like Mitch proved can move southward. But if it doe's that the death toll is going to be 10 k or more.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#679 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:20 pm

18/2345 UTC 16.7N 81.8W T5.5/5.5 WILMA
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#680 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 9:21 pm

18/2345 UTC 16.7N 81.8W T5.5/5.5 WILMA
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