Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

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senorpepr
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#361 Postby senorpepr » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:59 am

mtm4319 wrote:When's the next center pass/vortex data message?
Recon is inbound now.
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krysof

#362 Postby krysof » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:00 am

Crow for everyone. I noticed that throughout the season, people always liked to be conservative with predictions. Well lets just forget about that now. This is not a normal season. 2005 is not normal. People thought we would never see anything as strong as Katrina in years, then Rita shocked us, and Wilma is giving us a heart attack.

Also its small eye helped with intensification just like Charley.
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#363 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:06 am

They're going SW to NE, and should be going through the center in the next 1 or 2 minobs based on the NHC advisory.

I think it's possible that the highest winds might not be recorded because measurements are only taken every 30 seconds.
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#364 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:06 am

I think they will find 898 millibars with 165 mph winds....
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#365 Postby senorpepr » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:07 am

mtm4319 wrote:They're going SW to NE, and should be going through the center in the next 1 or 2 minobs based on the NHC advisory.

I think it's possible that the highest winds might not be recorded because measurements are only taken every 30 seconds.

They aren't real-time obs. The first set of numbers is the "one-minute" average for the 30 seconds (long story in explaining that), the second number is the peak measured every second.
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#366 Postby senorpepr » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:09 am

senorpepr wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:They're going SW to NE, and should be going through the center in the next 1 or 2 minobs based on the NHC advisory.

I think it's possible that the highest winds might not be recorded because measurements are only taken every 30 seconds.

They aren't real-time obs. The first set of numbers is the "one-minute" average for the 30 seconds (long story in explaining that), the second number is the peak measured every second.

Also... they are flying inbound to the SE quad...
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#367 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:11 am

senorpepr wrote:
senorpepr wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:They're going SW to NE, and should be going through the center in the next 1 or 2 minobs based on the NHC advisory.

I think it's possible that the highest winds might not be recorded because measurements are only taken every 30 seconds.

They aren't real-time obs. The first set of numbers is the "one-minute" average for the 30 seconds (long story in explaining that), the second number is the peak measured every second.

Also... they are flying inbound to the SE quad...


Wow, I'm just all wrong, aren't I? :lol:

Thanks for the clarifications on both points.
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#368 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:12 am

Well, Wilma's already beaten Katrina's 902 mb. Next up is Rita's 897 mb...

Some big time history could be made with this one!
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#369 Postby superfly » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:21 am

194MPH FL AT 90% REDUCTION = 175MPH!!
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#370 Postby senorpepr » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:21 am

We have a cat five... 175 mph surface.
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#371 Postby gotoman38 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:22 am

JAW ~~~> FLOOR
Last edited by gotoman38 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#372 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:22 am

superfly wrote:194MPH FL AT 90% REDUCTION = 175MPH!!


Oh boy.
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#373 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:22 am

It just did a katrina in Rita! :eek:
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#374 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:22 am

mtm4319 wrote:
superfly wrote:194MPH FL AT 90% REDUCTION = 175MPH!!


Oh boy.


Not surprising at all.
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#375 Postby Typhoon » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:34 am

Pressure: 892mb.
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#376 Postby Windy » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:35 am

Sure are taking their sweet time on the dropsonde... (not that I'm ragging them, I'm sure they're quite busy right now!)
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#377 Postby Typhoon » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:36 am

852
WTNT64 KNHC 190629
TCUAT4
HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HURRICANE WILMA
HAS BECOME AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE MEASURED
175 MPH WINDS AND ESTIMATED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 892 MB. THIS IS
THE LOWEST PRESSURE OBSERVED IN 2005 AND IS EQUIVALENT TO THE
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS.

FORECASTER AVILA



$$
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#378 Postby Windy » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:37 am

This is the most incredible thing I've seen in a long, long time.
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#379 Postby artist » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:43 am

so this is tied for the lowest in the Atlantic then?? Where will it stop? I am really getting concerned now. May God be with those on the west coast when it comes in. And even here in PB county becoming extremely concerned what may occur here.
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#380 Postby artist » Wed Oct 19, 2005 1:45 am

guess it still needs to beat Gilbert - just saw that.

Ok - can someone tell me where the highest winds have been found please?
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