Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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O Town
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#961 Postby O Town » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:11 am

Look at that eye, so tiny, but so perfect.

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#962 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:12 am

Image HOLY CRAP!!Image
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#963 Postby O Town » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:13 am

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :uarrow: Good one Hurricane Girl.
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#964 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:13 am

Wow I woke up with history made once again in this insane 2005 season.
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#965 Postby baygirl_1 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:16 am

baygirl_1 wrote:Well, I just woke up, hopped on the Internet, and just about woke up the whole house! I screamed when I saw that pressure and those winds and that radar! Fortunately, I only woke my DH and he wanted to know what had happened--- was there another terrorist threat?!
So, when is the next recon due in there?

Well, I found my answer in another thread (thanks, cycloneye!): the next recon heads out there at 10AM Eastern. Somehow, that just seems an interminable wait for more concrete data!
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#966 Postby Mattie » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:18 am

I just heard on local news that it *should* weaken to 90 to 110 mph at landfall which would be great news for Florida! Comments?
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#967 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:20 am

Mattie wrote:I just heard on local news that it *should* weaken to 90 to 110 mph at landfall which would be great news for Florida! Comments?


Who said that? Spongebob?
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#968 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:24 am

Mattie wrote:I just heard on local news that it *should* weaken to 90 to 110 mph at landfall which would be great news for Florida! Comments?


that is optimistic...let's hope that they are right
Last edited by CronkPSU on Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#969 Postby Mattie » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:25 am

Our NBC affiliate said it. Said because the eye is so small that it will be very difficult for it to maintain cat 5 for very long. I'm no weather pro, just repeating the news and looking to verify from those that know here on Storm2k.
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#970 Postby wxwatcher2 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:28 am

Mattie wrote:I just heard on local news that it *should* weaken to 90 to 110 mph at landfall which would be great news for Florida! Comments?


That forecast was made well before the storm ever reached this intensity.
The problem with the local News is that they often read things that are hours old and not the latest information.

Please stay up to date on the latest information and take this storm seriously.
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#971 Postby Mattie » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:31 am

This was said after cat 5 reached. That was the whole purpose of the weakening discussion.
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#972 Postby Windtalker1 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:32 am

Mattie wrote:I just heard on local news that it *should* weaken to 90 to 110 mph at landfall which would be great news for Florida! Comments?
Local Mets here in S Florida are keeping her a Cat 4 to the West Coast of Fl.
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#973 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:35 am

Nobody has ever seen anything like this before..This is not your average decrease in intensity storm..Its going to take a long time for this freak of nature to unwind...90MPH is not Plausable by landfall people...
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#974 Postby SotabusterFL » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:35 am

local mets here in sarasota and tampa dont seem to concerned about it. Everyone i've heard say landfall around naples and marco island. By the way when do the new model runs come out?
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#975 Postby Steve H. » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:36 am

Hmmmm. Looks like she's doing a bit of a loop. Not going to do a wobble watch though, since the models are unanimous on a NW/N/NE track. HHmmm.
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cycloneye
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#976 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:39 am

252
WHXX04 KWBC 191126
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 6Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.0 82.2 295./ 7.0
6 17.3 82.8 297./ 6.5
12 17.8 83.4 307./ 7.5
18 18.6 84.2 317./10.4
24 18.7 85.0 278./ 7.9
30 19.2 85.5 314./ 7.4
36 20.0 85.9 335./ 8.3
42 20.8 86.4 329./ 9.3
48 21.3 86.7 328./ 5.7
54 21.8 86.8 352./ 5.5
60 22.2 86.7 12./ 4.0
66 22.8 86.4 25./ 6.7
72 23.2 85.9 50./ 5.9
78 23.9 85.1 50./10.2
84 24.8 83.9 55./14.0
90 26.0 82.2 55./19.7
96 27.9 79.7 52./28.8
102 30.7 76.6 48./39.0
108 34.4 73.1 44./47.6
114 38.8 69.7 37./51.4
120 42.6 68.2 22./40.0
126 45.2 68.6 351./26.0

6z GFDL now has landfall near Naples.
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#977 Postby AZS » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:40 am

A look at the monster :eek:

Image

Image
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#978 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:43 am

THIS IS PROBABLY THE LOWEST MINIMUM PRESSURE EVER OBSERVED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#979 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:46 am

Image

The dark blue line is the 6z run of GFDL.
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#980 Postby LSue » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:47 am

Geez, Sota..

Their comments make me feel just swell! (not!) :eek:

Will be spending the day making preparations. We have a team made up of my husband and three friends who will work together to put up each others shutters. We also made reservations at three different hotels (that take dogs) depending on the track of the storm.

Gotta scoot...be safe!

Linda
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