Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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cjrciadt
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#1021 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:39 am

Image
potential only gets better for the next 24-36hrs, holy ****
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#1022 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:41 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:I just pray that the windfield doesnt expand due to eye wall replacements. Currently hurricane force winds expand outwards of 15 miles of the center but it could change could of the eye wall cycles. On the current forecast track, Wilma is gonna be within 46 miles of my house. I checked that on that Closest Approach thread. Others however, are gonna get it far worse :cry:

<RICKY>



man, thats not good news!, lets hope she continues west and hits the yucatan, but would be very bad for them :cry:
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#1023 Postby CentFLgal » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:44 am

The ditzy blonde weather chick (and I'm a blonde myself) on Fox 35 in Orlando, said "not to worry, it'll just be breezy with a passing shower" here. :roll:
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#1024 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:46 am


NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE WILMA (AL242005) ON 20051019 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051019 1200 051020 0000 051020 1200 051021 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.3N 82.8W 18.2N 84.3W 19.1N 85.4W 20.3N 86.1W
BAMM 17.3N 82.8W 18.3N 84.3W 19.2N 85.5W 20.4N 86.1W
A98E 17.3N 82.8W 18.0N 83.9W 19.1N 84.8W 20.5N 85.6W
LBAR 17.3N 82.8W 18.4N 84.1W 19.8N 85.4W 21.4N 86.1W
SHIP 150KTS 155KTS 158KTS 156KTS
DSHP 150KTS 155KTS 158KTS 156KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051021 1200 051022 1200 051023 1200 051024 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.2N 86.4W 23.1N 84.2W 30.5N 75.2W 41.8N 61.7W
BAMM 21.2N 86.4W 23.4N 83.6W 30.7N 75.3W 41.2N 63.2W
A98E 21.9N 86.1W 23.8N 85.8W 25.1N 80.1W 28.0N 74.5W
LBAR 23.5N 86.0W 29.2N 81.1W 38.4N 65.7W 42.4N 61.9W
SHIP 153KTS 130KTS 102KTS 62KTS
DSHP 153KTS 130KTS 88KTS 48KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 82.8W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 16.6N LONM12 = 81.8W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 80.3W
WNDCUR = 150KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 130KT
CENPRS = 882MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 140NM



12:00z BAM Models.
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#1025 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:49 am

ships now brings it up to 181mph!!!!!!
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#1026 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:52 am

cycloneye wrote:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE WILMA (AL242005) ON 20051019 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051019 1200 051020 0000 051020 1200 051021 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.3N 82.8W 18.2N 84.3W 19.1N 85.4W 20.3N 86.1W
BAMM 17.3N 82.8W 18.3N 84.3W 19.2N 85.5W 20.4N 86.1W
A98E 17.3N 82.8W 18.0N 83.9W 19.1N 84.8W 20.5N 85.6W
LBAR 17.3N 82.8W 18.4N 84.1W 19.8N 85.4W 21.4N 86.1W
SHIP 150KTS 155KTS 158KTS 156KTS
DSHP 150KTS 155KTS 158KTS 156KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051021 1200 051022 1200 051023 1200 051024 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.2N 86.4W 23.1N 84.2W 30.5N 75.2W 41.8N 61.7W
BAMM 21.2N 86.4W 23.4N 83.6W 30.7N 75.3W 41.2N 63.2W
A98E 21.9N 86.1W 23.8N 85.8W 25.1N 80.1W 28.0N 74.5W
LBAR 23.5N 86.0W 29.2N 81.1W 38.4N 65.7W 42.4N 61.9W
SHIP 153KTS 130KTS 102KTS 62KTS
DSHP 153KTS 130KTS 88KTS 48KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 82.8W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 16.6N LONM12 = 81.8W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 80.3W
WNDCUR = 150KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 130KT
CENPRS = 882MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 140NM



12:00z BAM Models.


Is that 150 MP at Landfall?
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#1027 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:57 am

Image

Graphic of the 12:00z run.

Destruction5 between 130kts and 102kts at landfall ship now projects the intensity.
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#1028 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:01 am

Almost looks like 2 eyes are spinning around! :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/VIS/20.jpg
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#1029 Postby sweetpea » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:04 am

CentFLgal wrote:The ditzy blonde weather chick (and I'm a blonde myself) on Fox 35 in Orlando, said "not to worry, it'll just be breezy with a passing shower" here. :roll:


I seen the same thing and called her a few choice words and changed the channel.

Debbie
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#1030 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:05 am

the major story on the cable networks is Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,. The trial will start after thanksgiving, cover the powerful cane heading towards FL Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 :grrr: :grrr: :grrr:
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#1031 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:06 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Is that 150 MP at Landfall?


No it's 150 mph a good ways before it gets to the coast.
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#1032 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:08 am

Brent wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Is that 150 MP at Landfall?


No it's 150 mph a good ways before it gets to the coast.


Whats the Approx Brent at landfall?
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#1033 Postby caneivan » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:08 am

That is really freaky! :eek: :?:
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#1034 Postby caneivan » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:09 am

That is really freaky! :eek: :?:
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#1035 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:09 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Brent wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Is that 150 MP at Landfall?


No it's 150 mph a good ways before it gets to the coast.


Whats the Approx Brent at landfall?


I can't say... but I'm pretty sure if that verifies, it would be stronger than a Marginal 3...
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#1036 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:12 am

cjrciadt wrote:the major story on the cable networks is Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,. The trial will start after thanksgiving, cover the powerful cane heading towards FL Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 :grrr: :grrr: :grrr:


If the CIA leak indictments come down between now and Friday, Wilma will be all forgotten.
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#1037 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:17 am

Talk about CONSENSUS!

Image
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Opinions about LBAR please!

#1038 Postby stormy1959 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:18 am

29.2N 81.1W 72HRs. This is to close to Orlando for comfort!
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Re: Opinions about LBAR please!

#1039 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:22 am

stormy1959 wrote:29.2N 81.1W 72HRs. This is to close to Orlando for comfort!


i fear after the Eyewall replacement cycle, the wind field is going to grow big time, way too many ditzy weathergirls are not putting enough repsect into what this storm can do to us in O-Town
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#1040 Postby HomesteadHoney » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:23 am

Brent wrote:
cjrciadt wrote:the major story on the cable networks is Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,. The trial will start after thanksgiving, cover the powerful cane heading towards FL Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 :grrr: :grrr: :grrr:


If the CIA leak indictments come down between now and Friday, Wilma will be all forgotten.


I don't think so. The John Roberts confirmation was happening during and just after Katrina and it barely made the news with all the Katrina coverage. Chief Justice Rehnquist's death barely made the front page during that time.
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