Pressure back down to 894

[Rae]

Per TWC

[shawn67]

Per TWC

Im guessing they have already seen the latest vortex data message

Shawn

[milankovitch]

000
URNT12 KNHC 191822 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:06:20Z
B. 17 deg 24 min N
083 deg 23 min W
C. 700 mb 2149 m
D. 75 kt
E. 29 deg 008 nm
F. 111 deg 128 kt
G. 023 deg 002 nm
H. 892 mb
I. 12 C/ 3058 m
J. 20 C/ 3028 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C4
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 0824A WILMA OB 11 CCA
MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 18:05:40 Z

Was the 2pm update of 900mb just an estimate? I don't think the pressure dropped they probably just overestimated the weakning.

[milankovitch]

I was looking at the MIMIC http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... npage.html

It does appear that an ERC is taking place now, unfortunatley the MIMIC is a few hour old, quite a large eye I think when this is done. Inner eye is weakning/being displaced presentation looks a little asymetric towards the end.

[soonertwister]

The 900 mb used in the 2PM advisory was an estimate based upon satellite presentation. Actual latest measured pressure is 892.

And the measured winds from the vortex message were down to low category 4 range, likely due to an ongoing ERC.

[Rae]

Hard to believe that sort of pressure indicates a cat 4. Makes me kind of scared to think what the speeds will be once the EWRC is done.