Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

[jax]

That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.

I'm guessing the 122 kt is in the outer eyewall.

157 x .8 =121.6 surface
121 knots = 138 mph... cat 4 right?

[Solaris]

427
URNT12 KNHC 191822
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:06:20Z
B. 17 deg 24 min N
083 deg 23 min W
C. 700 mb 2149 m
D. 75 kt
E. 29 deg 008 nm
F. 111 deg 128 kt
G. 023 deg 002 nm
H. EXTRAP 894 mb
I. 12 C/ 3058 m
J. 20 C/ 3028 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C4
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 0824A WILMA OB 11
MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 18:05:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB

[vaffie]

If they reported 152 knot flight level winds and a 900 mb pressure--in the early afternoon--at the diurnal maximum--in the middle of an eyewall replacement cycle--I can't see how that could be good news at all. Just wait another six hours and then say it's good news. Considering the circumstances of an ERC and still CAT 5 winds, I can't see how this could be good.

[jax]

[quote="Team Ragnarok"]That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.


152 x .8 = 121 kts

121 kts = 138 mph mid level cat 4 right?
am i doinf something wrong?

[jax]

[quote="Team Ragnarok"]That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.


152 x .8 = 121 kts

121 kts = 138 mph mid level cat 4 right?
am i doinf something wrong?

[Brent]

894 mb... WOW. Lower than the NHC estimated. 894 mb is in no way a Cat 4.

[Brent]

90% reduction...

152 kt=136.8 kt

[Brent]

URNT12 KNHC 191822 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:06:20Z
B. 17 deg 24 min N
083 deg 23 min W
C. 700 mb 2149 m
D. 75 kt
E. 29 deg 008 nm
F. 111 deg 128 kt
G. 023 deg 002 nm
H. 892 mb
I. 12 C/ 3058 m
J. 20 C/ 3028 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C4
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 0824A WILMA OB 11 CCA
MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 18:05:40 Z

[jax]

[quote="Team Ragnarok"]That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.


152 x .8 = 121 kts at surface

121 kts = 138 mph at surface mid level Cat 4 right?
did i do something wrong?

[cjrciadt]

892mb and 160mph sustained? WTH!!!!!!!!!

[Brent]

That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.


152 x .8 = 121 kts at surface

121 kts = 138 mph at surface mid level Cat 4 right?
did i do something wrong?

90 PERCENT reduction.

Not 80.

[Brent]

That's about 136 kt/157 MPH surface. Still a 5.


152 x .8 = 121 kts at surface

121 kts = 138 mph at surface mid level Cat 4 right?
did i do something wrong?

90 PERCENT reduction.

Not 80.

[Normandy]

Heh.
You know a hurricane is unbelievable when its pressure is that of the Labor Day storm while its undergoing its ERC.

[jpigott]

1st vortex had 894 extrap, 2nd vortex 892. Either they missed the lowest pressure on the 1st pass (most likely??) or Wilma is deepening again And am i reading this vortex right when it says the eye is only 1 mile wide? If so, that's just crazy

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

going through an erc and that pressure?!

there is very warm water and no shear ahead for at least another day. I bet Wilma surpasses her earlier 882! When she finishes the eyewall replacement and can start winding up again... look out!

We are truly witnessing history folks. Who ever would ahve imagined we would be lookign at a strom like this... let alone for the 3rd or 4th time in a season. And most of all... don't forget we are talking about WILMA here!

[milankovitch]

1st vortex had 894 extrap, 2nd vortex 892. Either they missed the lowest pressure on the 1st pass (most likely??) or Wilma is deepening again And am i reading this vortex right when it says the eye is only 1 mile wide? If so, that's just crazy

894 probably missed the lowest pressure the 900mb at 2pm was just a sattelite estimate. M. C4 tells you that the eye is 4 miles wide.

[wxwatcher91]

can someone post the link to the recon info on the tropicalupdate website?

Thanks!

[artist]

http://www.tropicalupdate.com is the main page - look to the left for the link

[txwatcher91]

can someone post the link to the recon info on the tropicalupdate website?

Thanks!

I don't have that website, but I have this one. This is like the one cycloneye uses to post the recon info.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/sta ... XXX50.KNHC

Here is one for vortex messages.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml

[wxwatcher91]

thanks you two!