As we await the 18z GFDL

[Vortex]

Please post whom ever may receive it first.

[jkt21787]

It should be in towards the top of the hour. It should stray away from the crazy scenario of this morning and be mostly back on track.

[greeng13]

already up and discussed in the pro met forum.

[jkt21787]

Sorry, but the 18z GFDL is not in yet. I see no discussion of it for that matter on the pro met forum. Don Sutherland did mention the new 18z GFS, however.

[greeng13]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=76779&start=40

that's what i clicked on and scroll down a bit.

[LanceW]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=76779&start=40

that's what i clicked on and scroll down a bit.

Wrong model. He speaks of the GFS, not GFDL.

[nequad]

18Z GFDL is not out yet. It should be in my inbox within 10 minutes...if it's on time.

[Foladar0]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=76779&start=40

that's what i clicked on and scroll down a bit.

THats the GFS not GFDL

[jkt21787]

Sorry, but the 18z GFDL is not in yet. I see no discussion of it for that matter on the pro met forum. Don Sutherland did mention the new 18z GFS, however.

I guess I need to echo myself.

[greeng13]

OK OK OK OK I was wrong.

wrong model run....

bad greeng13
bad greeng13
bad greeng13

[nequad]

510
WHXX04 KWBC 192330
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.4 83.3 295./ 6.0
6 17.7 83.9 297./ 6.2
12 18.2 84.8 300./10.1
18 18.4 85.4 286./ 5.9
24 18.9 85.9 315./ 7.6
30 19.7 86.3 333./ 8.1
36 20.1 86.7 320./ 5.6
42 20.6 86.9 335./ 5.7
48 21.1 87.0 348./ 4.4
54 21.4 87.1 351./ 3.8
60 21.6 86.9 34./ 2.1
66 21.9 86.8 32./ 3.1
72 22.1 86.3 68./ 5.2
78 22.4 85.6 62./ 6.9
84 22.7 84.9 70./ 7.0
90 23.3 84.0 57./10.5
96 24.1 82.7 59./13.9
102 25.5 80.8 51./22.2
108 27.9 78.7 42./30.4
114 31.3 76.1 38./41.1
120 36.2 73.2 30./53.6
126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

[nequad]

Back on track...and noticably closer to the Outer Banks of North Carolina too...

[Windsong]

Translation please?

[wxwonder12]

Yes please

[nequad]

I should say closer to NC before she slams New England.

[DESTRUCTION5]

510
WHXX04 KWBC 192330
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.4 83.3 295./ 6.0
6 17.7 83.9 297./ 6.2
12 18.2 84.8 300./10.1
18 18.4 85.4 286./ 5.9
24 18.9 85.9 315./ 7.6
30 19.7 86.3 333./ 8.1
36 20.1 86.7 320./ 5.6
42 20.6 86.9 335./ 5.7
48 21.1 87.0 348./ 4.4
54 21.4 87.1 351./ 3.8
60 21.6 86.9 34./ 2.1
66 21.9 86.8 32./ 3.1
72 22.1 86.3 68./ 5.2
78 22.4 85.6 62./ 6.9
84 22.7 84.9 70./ 7.0
90 23.3 84.0 57./10.5
96 24.1 82.7 59./13.9
102 25.5 80.8 51./22.2
108 27.9 78.7 42./30.4
114 31.3 76.1 38./41.1
120 36.2 73.2 30./53.6
126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

Bingo...Now what Skeptics?

[CHRISTY]

can someone post a link... when you say back on track do you mean towards southflorida?

[krysof]

I should say closer to NC before she slams New England.

Eew, the gfs and now the gfdl bring this storm closer to New England, not what I want to see

[Brent]

Translation please?

A little south of the NHC... goes right over Miami/Fort Lauderdale/WPB.

[nequad]

Come on now...you guys can read coordinates can't you?

Looks like the GFDL takes her near the Keys before turning her NNE toward New England.