As we await the 18z GFDL

[Windsong]

Destructions, could you please tell me what that says?

Thank you,
Windsong

[Bgator]

I am basically located at 25.5 80.5, Not cool!

[WeatherEmperor]

Well I suppose that sort of settles things at least for now.

<RICKY>

[nequad]

By back on track I mean closer to the previous runs...except of course for the screwy 12Z run.


Basically tracks her across the Keys and extreme south Florida...then skirts the coast to New England.

[Bgator]

[Bgator]

[jkt21787]

I know we are all focused on FL, but please note the 18z GFDL is VERY VERY BAD for New England!!

[thunderchief]

126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

moving at 53 knots into the NE coast!!!!!!

[Rainband]

510
WHXX04 KWBC 192330
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.4 83.3 295./ 6.0
6 17.7 83.9 297./ 6.2
12 18.2 84.8 300./10.1
18 18.4 85.4 286./ 5.9
24 18.9 85.9 315./ 7.6
30 19.7 86.3 333./ 8.1
36 20.1 86.7 320./ 5.6
42 20.6 86.9 335./ 5.7
48 21.1 87.0 348./ 4.4
54 21.4 87.1 351./ 3.8
60 21.6 86.9 34./ 2.1
66 21.9 86.8 32./ 3.1
72 22.1 86.3 68./ 5.2
78 22.4 85.6 62./ 6.9
84 22.7 84.9 70./ 7.0
90 23.3 84.0 57./10.5
96 24.1 82.7 59./13.9
102 25.5 80.8 51./22.2
108 27.9 78.7 42./30.4
114 31.3 76.1 38./41.1
120 36.2 73.2 30./53.6
126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

Bingo...Now what Skeptics?

You sound like you want this storm.....

[Brent]

I know we are all focused on FL, but please note the 18z GFDL is VERY VERY BAD for New England!!

It plows into Long Island and Rhode Island moving at almost 65 mph... OMG

[krysof]

now add up 53 knots of movement and its intensity= major problem!!!

[greeng13]

agreed. new england needs no more rain

[CHRISTY]

can somone post a link of the newest gfdl... question so the gfdl is no longer moving NE under cuba like mayfield showed??

[greeng13]

can somone post a link of the newest gfdl... question so the gfdl is no longer moving NE under cuba like mayfield showed??

there is a picture showing all the model runs above this post and the GFDL is one of them.

[Brent]

can somone post a link of the newest gfdl... question so the gfdl is no longer moving NE under cuba like mayfield showed??

No... it moves northeast over Southeast Florida.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_24.gif

Pink line.

[pgoss11]

If the gfdl verifies it will be the hurricane of 1938 all over again

[JTD]

What does the new GFDL show intensity wise for 1st landfall?

[Brent]

If the gfdl verifies it will be the hurricane of 1938 all over again

It'll be much worse. A lot more people live there now.

[Bgator]

can somone post a link of the newest gfdl... question so the gfdl is no longer moving NE under cuba like mayfield showed??

No... it moves northeast over Southeast Florida.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_24.gif

Pink line.

This is total speculation and i dont even believ it but what if this ends up being a SE FLA event, If it goes thru everglades no one will be truly effected till it reaches SE FLA, and if the GFDL stays near the same SE FLA would get hammered, I dont want a major cane!@

[rainydaze]

Does anyone think the time frame will be moved up again?