Could this be potential Alpha?! Amazing convection burst....

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dixiebreeze
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Could this be potential Alpha?! Amazing convection burst....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 6:59 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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Re: Could this be potential Alpha?! Amazing convection burst

#2 Postby fuzzyblow » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:09 pm

What may happen if so ?
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:13 pm

yes, it could be. Here we go again :eek:
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#4 Postby O Town » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:19 pm

:eek: :eek:
Haven't really looked around the Atlantic since Wilma formed. Humm. Could be the start to the greek alphabet. Something else to watch. :roll:
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#5 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:20 pm

boca_chris wrote:yes, it could be. Here we go again :eek:


GO again?

When have we ever quit????????????????

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#6 Postby feederband » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:25 pm

Don't think there is much of anything their just yet ...But why not we can talk about 2 systems at a time...
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#7 Postby jamespa1 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:26 pm

I think it's a bit close to Wilma to amount to much. I'm sure Wilma has stirred things up enough that the water temp should be down enough to keep it from gaining any kind of status. Or at least lets hope so.
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#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:28 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
boca_chris wrote:yes, it could be. Here we go again :eek:


GO again?

When have we ever quit????????????????

:eek: :eek: :eek:


Good point! :roll:
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#9 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:28 pm

WOW...
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#10 Postby skysummit » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:30 pm

Brent wrote:WOW...


I concur...
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:33 pm

Brent wrote:WOW...


TD coming up by weekend do you think?
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:34 pm

I don't know, it's pretty far south. What's the shear look like above it?
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#13 Postby hicksta » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:35 pm

Need more than convection... But its a start
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#14 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:38 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
Brent wrote:WOW...


TD coming up by weekend do you think?


If it holds together, possibly.

It looks more like a trough right now.
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#15 Postby gpickett00 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:41 pm

jamespa1 wrote:I think it's a bit close to Wilma to amount to much. I'm sure Wilma has stirred things up enough that the water temp should be down enough to keep it from gaining any kind of status. Or at least lets hope so.


it only takes 80 degrees to hold a system
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#16 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:42 pm

I don't see too much in its way:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg
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#17 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:43 pm

gpickett00 wrote:
jamespa1 wrote:I think it's a bit close to Wilma to amount to much. I'm sure Wilma has stirred things up enough that the water temp should be down enough to keep it from gaining any kind of status. Or at least lets hope so.


it only takes 80 degrees to hold a system
or as vince showed, less than 80 for a hurricane!!! more like 75 for a cane... :eek:
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#18 Postby stormcrow » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:44 pm

Unless your name is Vince
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Jim Cantore

#19 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:56 pm

Even if Alpha forms it will be mostly ignored until Wilma leaves
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#20 Postby curtadams » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:24 pm

No chance of cyclone development there. It's tropical moisture passing under strong upper-level winds from the NW. You can see clouds skidding ESE and when the convection passes underneath, it goes BOOM because the upper air is cold. The upper winds are producing strong shear (semi-quantitated here http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html ) and that nixes any chance of tropical development. It's more like a front.
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