Out flow boundry's looking up..

DESTRUCTION5 · #1 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:48 am

This may be the 1st indication that a More N component is close to comencing...Take a look..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

joe_koehle · #2 Postby **joe_koehle** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:03 am

not only does it have a more northernly component of movement, but those cold red cloudtops are starting to re-wrap all the way around the presumed new eye.

it looks like it's shedding the pacfic feeder band, and maybe that's why the N is blowing up (to compensate)

tampastorm · #3 Postby **tampastorm** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:07 am

Also has it picked its foward speed? Sure looks like it might of.

mike815 · #4 Postby **mike815** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:08 am

yeah good eye im seeing that now too.

joe_koehle · #5 Postby **joe_koehle** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:28 am

those really dark gray cloudtops are starting to reappear on IR..haven't seen those since she warmed up yesterday morning

gpickett00 · #6 Postby **gpickett00** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:48 am

it looks like that new eye is going to be huge. more of a katrina shape

x-y-no · #7 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 7:22 am

We need a couple of hours mor of images to confirm, but I think you're right. I see two things here - a slowdown of the forward progress in the last couple of hours, something which frequently happens prior to a turn, and also the elongation of the envelope northward.

Right now, it looks to me like the NHC track will be dead on accurate.

Agua · #8 Postby **Agua** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:13 am

Definitely see the elongation of the outflow towards a N/S orientation, still very little nothern component to the motion, though.

#9 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:15 am

Agua wrote:Definitely see the elongation of the outflow towards a N/S orientation, still very little nothern component to the motion, though.

Could be a sign of things to come...it usually is. Right now, that's where the weakness is, just to her north.

Derek Ortt · #10 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:39 am

the motion has turned, but its 270 for the time being

DESTRUCTION5 · #11 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:40 am

Derek Ortt wrote:the motion has turned, but its 270 for the time being

I saw you said Landfall in the YUcatan which looks Probable but how much beating do you think she will take Derek before re Emerging?

vacanechaser · #12 Postby **vacanechaser** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:18 am

the western edge of the out flow looks like it hit a wall... it looks sort of smashed a bit.. the turn looks to be coming soon...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

#13 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:20 am

Looks like the only way for it to go is due north from here then should make the NE turn.

Out flow boundry's looking up..

Out flow boundry's looking up..

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