Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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cycloneye
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#1801 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:54 pm

Hey folks now moving NW at 5 mph per 1 PM CDT advisorie.
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#1802 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:55 pm

cycloneye wrote:Hey folks now moving NW at 5 mph per 1 PM CDT advisorie.


Cool...so she's began her turn.
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#1803 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:56 pm

well its moving NW now though I dont think that means much of anything
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#1804 Postby Damar91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:56 pm

According to those coordinates, it hasn't moved west at all, but .2 degrees north. Just a wobble or more?
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#1805 Postby nequad » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:57 pm

Well...at the very least it means the official forecast is on track...finally. :lol:
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#1806 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:57 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:well its moving NW now though I dont think that means much of anything


Tell that to the 5 million livign along the Mexican Coast...
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#1807 Postby SkeetoBite » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:58 pm

We've been averaging about 6,000 unique users at any given time on the server for the past 72 hours. Most of the historical maps are dynamic (drawn when the user calls for them). We are tweaking the system to accomodate the additional traffic so that current data isn't sitting in a loop waiting to draw the most current maps.

Confused??? Daily!

You guys don't miss a thing and I appreciate the feedback. It's going to result in maps and data YOU want and make our site rock solid.
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#1808 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:58 pm

Damar91 wrote:According to those coordinates, it hasn't moved west at all, but .2 degrees north. Just a wobble or more?

Slighty N. of her forecast point
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
Put the forecast pts.
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#1809 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:59 pm

I meant it doesnt mean much of anything as in its still generally heading towards the yucatan
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#1810 Postby LanceW » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:59 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
Damar91 wrote:According to those coordinates, it hasn't moved west at all, but .2 degrees north. Just a wobble or more?

Slighty N. of her forecast point
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
Put the forecast pts.


I was just gonna mention that. (Actually started typing and decided not to.)
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thermos
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#1811 Postby thermos » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:02 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:well its moving NW now though I dont think that means much of anything


How can you say that when the turn north is what everyone has been posting about for hours on end? :roll:
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#1812 Postby nequad » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:03 pm

The cloud pattern is also becoming somewhat elongated from north to south...normally indicative of a more poleward motion.
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#1813 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:05 pm

ok let me clarify myself, when I said it didnt mean much of anything all I meant was this was forcasted and isnt a real surprise
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#1814 Postby feederband » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:05 pm

Someone needs to move the cone of doom...I've been in it for along time now I can't take it anymore...Move it please.... :wink:
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#1815 Postby Blown Away » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:08 pm

Well here we go again, the GFDL collapsed and is now wondering around the NW caribbean. This is so frustrating.
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LarryWx
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#1816 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:10 pm

Here is the THU 12Z ECMWF 96 hour map:

Image

Now, here is the 120 hour map:

Image

These two maps imply a track to or very close to the Keys and the extreme southern tip of the peninsula, which is very slightly further north than its 0Z THU run and ~24 hours faster than that run (FL most affected MON night instead of TUE night).
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#1817 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:11 pm

Maybe the pros can chime in...

But is Wilma in the process of going annular?
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#1818 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:11 pm

No NE U.S. hit on this ECMWF run:

Image
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#1819 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:13 pm

This thing just refuses to gain any kind of forward motion. 5mph sheesh...
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#1820 Postby Damar91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:14 pm

One other observation, looking at the water vapor loop, it looks like her moisture from the north is starting to penetrate the dry air to the north. Anyone else see it?
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