Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Amanzi
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#1841 Postby Amanzi » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:59 pm

My heart is so torn right now. I want her to weaken for Florida, but I feel so for the people in the Yuc who have to deal with her wrath now.
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#1842 Postby artist » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:00 pm

in his tele conference he stated it could be a strong cat 2 or 3, if it hits the yucatan - otherwise it would have been strong cat 3 or 4. BUT he said we don't know for sure basically. Any of those strengths will cause alot of damage.
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#1843 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:01 pm

Amanzi wrote:My heart is so torn right now. I want her to weaken for Florida, but I feel so for the people in the Yuc who have to deal with her wrath now.


So what we could hope for is for Wilma to miss the Yucatan, and a hell of a lot of shear builds up in the SE gulf to really weakenn her prior to landfall in Florida.
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#1844 Postby storms in NC » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:02 pm

ColinDelia wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I still say the eye will not go over land. For the last few hours it has been going NW and that would put it just off shore. I would like to ask if any one has seen the warm edds in the gulf. That is what I am going by and that it will be a strong 3 low 4 at land fall.


Look at the shear though ::
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... shr-1.html

Increasing from 10-40+ knots (currently) between the Yucutan and Florida coast.

True But if she gets back up to a strong 5 and then hits the shear it is not going to bring her down that much that fast.. So a strong cat 3 to a weak 4
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#1845 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:07 pm

the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan
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#1846 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:08 pm

She is really starting to look symmetrical again.

Image
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#1847 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:10 pm

i think she is about to ramp up again to cat 5....eye looks much better....its looking like hear ERC is finished
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#1848 Postby Valkhorn » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:10 pm

the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan


Sources?
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#1849 Postby storms in NC » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:10 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan


Do What? Now Derek do you really think this will happen?
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#1850 Postby baygirl_1 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:11 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan

Derek, I'm assuming you mean the part of Isidore's path that meandered around the Yucantan for a bit? You aren't referring to its later path toward Louisiana, right?
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#1851 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:11 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan


Which Isidore scenario are you talking about?

I know you're not talking about this....

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Last edited by skysummit on Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1852 Postby melhow » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:12 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan


Are you talking just the the stall, or the entire track, ie: Lousianna?
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#1853 Postby Myersgirl » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:14 pm

She looks stretched out to the Northeast to me
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#1854 Postby Aimless » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:16 pm

Myersgirl wrote:She looks stretched out to the Northeast to me


looks that way to me too
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#1855 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:19 pm

Aimless wrote:
Myersgirl wrote:She looks stretched out to the Northeast to me


looks that way to me too


ditto... not sure what it means though lol

all I know is that between 11am and 2pm it moved .2 N and 0W so I think it has turned
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LilNoles2005
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c'mon

#1856 Postby LilNoles2005 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:23 pm

C'mon you guys, you know he meant that the Izzy reference was to her long stall over the Yucatan Peninsula.

None of the models show a hint of anything coming close to LA.
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#1857 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:29 pm

well im back after our meteorology teacher cussed us out cause our class didnt do well on the midterm, she was not happy :eek: back to wilma, :lol:
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dixiebreeze
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#1858 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:30 pm

Convection bands now all the way to Tampa Bay and she looks as though she's moving more NNW than NW. -- Very organized and serious:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg
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n o o d l z
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#1859 Postby n o o d l z » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:31 pm

ivanhater wrote:well im back after our meteorology teacher cussed us out cause our class didnt do well on the midterm, she was not happy :eek: back to wilma, :lol:


I'd say you had a good reason not to study...
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Scorpion

#1860 Postby Scorpion » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:33 pm

Looks NNW now. Definitely making the turn. Cozumel might escape the worst. Doesnt look at all like its burying itself in the Yucatan.
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