Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Bocadude85
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#1861 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:39 pm

Wilma has got a pretty good northerly track going on right now
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#1862 Postby StormFury » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:39 pm

I agree Scorpion. You should listen to 610 AM (the Schnitt Show). He has been talking to meteorologist regarding Wilma's path (Met from NWS office Ruskin and met from Local 10 Don Noe). I heard talk that maybe Wilma will not hit Mexico after all and retain most of its strength as it passes through the Yucatan Channel.
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#1863 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:40 pm

n o o d l z wrote:
ivanhater wrote:well im back after our meteorology teacher cussed us out cause our class didnt do well on the midterm, she was not happy :eek: back to wilma, :lol:


I'd say you had a good reason not to study...



lol, very true
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#1864 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:41 pm

Yes, I am seeing some NNW movement- and hoping and praying
that this spares the Yucatan a direct catastrophic hit.

Sparing the Yucatan might be bad news for FL due to
lesser chance to weaken, but a CAT 5
into that area would just be horrific--> So I am praying
Wilma does not hit the Yucatan.
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#1865 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:42 pm

ivanhater wrote:
n o o d l z wrote:
ivanhater wrote:well im back after our meteorology teacher cussed us out cause our class didnt do well on the midterm, she was not happy :eek: back to wilma, :lol:


I'd say you had a good reason not to study...



lol, very true


yo ivanhater, go back to your school work boy :D :D

<RICKY>
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#1866 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:42 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:Wilma has got a pretty good northerly track going on right now


If this is the case, that also means a possible hit further north on the Florida coast.
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#1867 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:45 pm

skysummit wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:Wilma has got a pretty good northerly track going on right now


If this is the case, that also means a possible hit further north on the Florida coast.


I am starting to get really concerned... even if this thing
goes through the KEYS the rainbands that sweep through
the peninsula could knock out power 200 miles+ away from the center-
remember what happened with Hurricane Dennis as it stayed offshore
the FL West Coast and all the power outages that took place
along the west coas.
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#1868 Postby melhow » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:46 pm

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#1869 Postby wxwatcher2 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:47 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the model consensus is now for an Isidore scenario. CONU has the storm stuck over the NE Yucatan


I'm not buying into that.
Not saying it can't happen, I think I see enough of a path for Wilma to keep on moving N and the NE with no stall at the Yucatan.

Seems we rely so much on the models and every six hours, there is another slight divergence which throws everyone into a tizzy.
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#1870 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:47 pm



Jes...
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#1871 Postby truballer#1 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:48 pm

microwave imagry shows erc about done!
Image
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#1872 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:49 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
ivanhater wrote:
n o o d l z wrote:
ivanhater wrote:well im back after our meteorology teacher cussed us out cause our class didnt do well on the midterm, she was not happy :eek: back to wilma, :lol:


I'd say you had a good reason not to study...



lol, very true


yo ivanhater, go back to your school work boy :D :D

<RICKY>



well i got a B on it so i didnt that bad, but still she wasnt very happy with the others....cant believe she said we were bullsh****** her on some answers, lol
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#1873 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:55 pm

Seems as though she might be a tad east of her next forecast point, IMO. Should be an interesting 5 pm advisory....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html
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#1874 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:56 pm

Ok folks let's not talk here about school things and let's return to talk about a very serious situation that Wilma may cause in Yucatan and in Florida.
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#1875 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:56 pm

Ok folks let's not talk here about school things and let's return to talk about a very serious situation that Wilma may cause in Ycatan and in Florida.
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#1876 Postby ColinDelia » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:56 pm

storms in NC wrote:
ColinDelia wrote:
storms in NC wrote:I still say the eye will not go over land. For the last few hours it has been going NW and that would put it just off shore. I would like to ask if any one has seen the warm edds in the gulf. That is what I am going by and that it will be a strong 3 low 4 at land fall.


Look at the shear though ::
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... shr-1.html

Increasing from 10-40+ knots (currently) between the Yucutan and Florida coast.

True But if she gets back up to a strong 5 and then hits the shear it is not going to bring her down that much that fast.. So a strong cat 3 to a weak 4


Well, those are some "IF's" ;-)
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#1877 Postby Talon402 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:59 pm

Could somebody please kindly provide me a link where I can see the NNW movement on a GOES loop or something? I don't any of my bookmarks here.......thanks
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#1878 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 3:00 pm

Talon402 wrote:Could somebody please kindly provide me a link where I can see the NNW movement on a GOES loop or something? I don't any of my bookmarks here.......thanks


Click on that last check box on the upper right to compare it to the forecast points.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#1879 Postby Damar91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 3:04 pm

NNE without a doubt, now the 10 million dollar question is, will she get through in time to send her towards south or central FL.
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#1880 Postby Terry » Thu Oct 20, 2005 3:05 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:

I am starting to get really concerned... even if this thing
goes through the KEYS the rainbands that sweep through
the peninsula could knock out power 200 miles+ away from the center-
remember what happened with Hurricane Dennis as it stayed offshore
the FL West Coast and all the power outages that took place
along the west coas.


The Tampa Bay area was on the eastern side (right side) of Dennis. Unless things drastically change, we'll be on the north side (left and "safer" side) of Wilma.
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