Central Florida Thread {West and East Coast}

[Eyes2theSkies]

I'm with Terry on getting out there early for supplies. I filled my gas tank night before last. I bought peanut butter, bread, etc. and went easy on the perishables when I went grocery shopping. This is all stuff I need anyway, why should I wait until the day before landfall and have to deal with nervous crowds of people and empty shelves? I keep a hurricane kit of water, batteries, etc., like any Floridian with a brain should do during the season. I won't be in the grocery stores with the stampeding cattle.

[Josephine96]

I heard Max's conference too that the storm could come in as far north as Tampa.

If it comes in that far north.. Then the Central Fla area would get hammered. All those on the eastern side of the storm would see very nasty weather..

It's gonna be very interesting tomorrow and Saturday..

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

The change to a NW and actually a NNW movement today should raise our concern slightly. The sooner Wilma gets north, the more north the eventual landfall will be. If this motion continues, a stall over the Yuc is not going to happen. Also, if this motion continues and Wilma continues to miss the forecast points to the north and east, we can expect landfall to be with a stronger storm and higher up the west coast.
I still don't think she'll make it as far north as Tampa unless somethign drastic happens, but I wouldn't put it past a stronger possibility of getting as far north as Punta Gorda or even Sarasota.

[cjrciadt]

Remember it could be on course for S FL within 24hrs of landfall and "wobble" N. for only 3hrs can make a giantic change in landfall and who feels effects inland. Just keep watching every step Wilma makes.

[Josephine96]

My 1st call was for a Sarasota landfall and I heard about it I like most pros and amateurs can't figure out where we think she's gonna go..

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

LBAR, A98 and BAMD are saying north now. The LBAR has been consistent all along. The A98 has flip flopped, but the BAMD has been taking a far southern route all along until now. Why the sudden change???

[Josephine96]

Maybe they all think she's gonna make a wider curve and go further up the coast.. All I know is.. The wait is agonizing, I wish she'd make up her mind and go..

[k-man]

Read the 5pm discussion. She's going to hang over the YP for quite awhile and then make her way to Florida in a greatly weakened state. The shear will rip her to shreds....highly unfavorable environment. I'm gonna bet you that Central Florida doesn't even see tropical force winds....

[cmdebbie]

Read the 5pm discussion. She's going to hang over the YP for quite awhile and then make her way to Florida in a greatly weakened state. The shear will rip her to shreds....highly unfavorable environment. I'm gonna bet you that Central Florida doesn't even see tropical force winds....

I sure hope that you are right!

[Josephine96]

I guess it's a wait and see type thing with this..

[Toro694]

[Toro694]

[list=][/list]

[Toro694]

i don't want to sound mean, but your posts all focus around the outside possibilities that the storm will hammer your area. Like you want someone to tell you" Yes it is coming right to your house". If you want it to come and feel the power of the storm, just say it. I like the fringe effects of the storms, it is pretty cool. I am admitting it right now, I hope it comes close enough to feel the winds and rain. But your posts really make me cringe. Sorry, just my opinion.

[Josephine96]

Make any opinions you'd like.. They don't bother me

I am completely fascinated by the powers of hurricane force winds..

Charley did scare me, but also completely fascinated me to wonder lots more about these storms.

Went through 3 hurricanes last year. Do I want another Cat 1-2 storm here.. Not necessarily.. But the power of the wind is amazing and doesn't frighten me as much as some would think after what happened last year..

[Toro694]

Now that is a good post. You admit you like the power and force. That is cool. It just appeared to me that you acted like you didn' t want it to come to your area while all of your forecasts put it closer to you than the NHC or the other mets do. That's all. Thanks for the courteous reply.
I do like this about this board from what I have read lately, the civil discussions that are sorely lacking at some other boards.

[Josephine96]

Thank you for your kind words Toro...

[Josephine96]

The agonizing wait continues this morning.. I think a lot of us just want this darn thing to make up it's mind and get out of here..

[tronbunny]

John, FYI:

NWS Melbourne

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
514 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
212100-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-
INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-
514 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA AS A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS LIE ACROSS THE AREA. NONE OF THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
FLORIDA. SATURATED CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OVER THESE AREAS WILL AGGRAVATE EXISTING STANDING WATER
CONDITIONS...AND LEAD TO RAPID PONDING OF WATER IN LOW SPOTS AND
ON AREA ROADS. THE POSSIBILITY OF TRAINING CELLS MAY LEAD TO
NUISANCE FLOODING ANYWHERE ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WIND AND OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS
MAINLY AROUND LOW TIDE FROM 4 TO 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL
ALSO BE AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RIP CURRENTS NEAR PIERS AND JETTYS
AND OTHER OBSTRUCTIONS INCLUDING SAND BARS IN THE SURF ZONE.
ANYONE ENTERING THE WATER SHOULD NOT SWIM ALONE. CHECK WITH LOCAL
AUTHORITIES FOR THE LATEST OCEAN CONDITIONS UPON ARRIVAL AT THE
BEACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
HURRICANE WILMA IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY AND THEN ACCELERATE NORTHEAST
TOWARD SOUTHERN...OR POSSIBLY CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS
SYSTEM.

PERSONS IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS SHOULD WILMA POSE A DIRECT THREAT TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AS AN
UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE LINGER ACROSS THE REGION.

I don't think that even at 5am this morning they ruled out CFL.
Looking forward to the next HWO from KMLB!

[Holly93]

http://www.okeechobeeeoc.com/

[acidus]

Read the 5pm discussion. She's going to hang over the YP for quite awhile and then make her way to Florida in a greatly weakened state. The shear will rip her to shreds....highly unfavorable environment. I'm gonna bet you that Central Florida doesn't even see tropical force winds....

With the latest NHC forecast, I agree. Things could change, but right now this is looking like a non-event for Central Florida.