Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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AZS
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#2001 Postby AZS » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:59 pm

For those you say that this storm doesn´t look healthy

Image
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krysof

#2002 Postby krysof » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:59 pm

the perfect way to understand it it going through one, but that's dangerous
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tampaflwx
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#2003 Postby tampaflwx » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:00 pm

just want to remind everyone of the remarkably similar path taken by the 1921 category 3 storm that hit tampa bay, the last direct hurricane experienced by tampa bay still to this day. also notice the date.

Image
Last edited by tampaflwx on Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2004 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:01 pm

There she go's watch her become a cat5 later tonight...
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AZS
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#2005 Postby AZS » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:04 pm

Another image of this monster

Image
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nequad
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#2006 Postby nequad » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:06 pm

18Z GFS is in through 72 hours. Still showing a stall over the northern Yucatan. Then begins moving NE by 72 hours.

Will update with pics shortly...
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skysummit
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#2007 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:07 pm

Check out this high res pic of Wilma when she was maxed out....

http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/pub/goes/051019.wilma.gif
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skysummit
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#2008 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:09 pm

Looks like she's starting to get a large stadium going.

Image
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Scorpion

#2009 Postby Scorpion » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:12 pm

Still a more north motion. Looks convincing that she might just clip the Yucatan and not bury herself in there.
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Stratosphere747
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#2010 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:14 pm

Scorpion wrote:Still a more north motion. Looks convincing that she might just clip the Yucatan and not bury herself in there.


Your obviously not looking at the motion correctly. It better take a true NNW motion, which it is not. Otherwise it is still heading directly for Cozumel and Cancun.
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Damar91
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#2011 Postby Damar91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:14 pm

I think were all pretty much in agreement that she is moving more north now, the question is, will the trough be able to pick her up, and when?
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#2012 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:15 pm

Large eye opening up....just in time for maximum strengthening potential tonight.

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2013 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:16 pm

There she go's...Bye bye Cozemul in Cancun.
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Scorpion

#2014 Postby Scorpion » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:17 pm

Odd that the pressure has risen significantly to 923.
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nequad
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#2015 Postby nequad » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:18 pm

18Z GFS...96, 108, and 114 hour frames...


Image




Image


Image
Last edited by nequad on Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Damar91
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#2016 Postby Damar91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:19 pm

Well, for sure, the debate about all this should be over by tommorow. :wink:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2017 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:19 pm

Scorpion wrote:Odd that the pressure has risen significantly to 923.


I don't get it???? Maybe it will tighten up now that the eye is out.
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skysummit
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#2018 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:21 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Odd that the pressure has risen significantly to 923.


I don't get it???? Maybe it will tighten up now that the eye is out.


Yea, I guess you could say it was still going through its ERC since the eye is finally opening? Once the sun sets, I believe the pressure will start going down again. I wouldn't be surprised to see a Cat 5 by the 2a.m. advisory.
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#2019 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:22 pm

hmm... well I suppose we can't expect strengthening until the eyewall actually CLOSES and contracts
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#2020 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:22 pm

GFS Much further N...
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