To Stall or not to stall, that is the question!

[StormFury]

Or do you think the models are out to lunch?http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
after analyzing the satellite loop for the past several hours, Wilma looks like she may miss the Yucatan...the GFDL, which seems a bit drunk, thought Wilma would make landfall at about the latitude she's already at. Comments?

[TampaFl]

Agree Stormfury, Wilma continues to move steadily nw. IMHO if it does not slow over the Yucatan and just clips the ne corner, I think it could go a little further north in the Gulf & then turn n.e with a possible hit between Sarasota & Fort Myers.

Robert

[truballer#1]

my thinking is no landfall and and no stall

[StormFury]

Even Don Sutherland does not agree with the stall. At least I think it was Don; it a was a met for sure who said something like, "I am not buying into the idea of a stall just yet; and Wilma should make landfall as a category 3 115 mph."

[WindRunner]

I'm not bought yet, but it'll be clearer in about 20hrs.

[n o o d l z]

I don't see it...it'd almost have to turn straight west at this point to follow the GFS/GFDL models....I don't know why they're so far off.

[WeatherEmperor]

I don't see it...it'd almost have to turn straight west at this point to follow the GFS/GFDL models....I don't know why they're so far off.

I agree with you. I guess thats why they are models afterall.

<RICKY>

[DESTRUCTION5]

I was always told a Poleward Major Hurricane is hard to stop unless Ridge is Monsterous...In this Case it is not...

[Deenac813]

I voted no but am hoping yes. Well for me anyway.. a stall would be terrible for the Yuctan.

[AL Chili Pepper]

My thinking is that it could slow down for a short while just before making it's NE track, but not to a complete stall. I also think it won't quite make landfall in Mexico. Landfall in SW FL at 115 MPH looks pretty reasonable.