Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Normandy
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#2161 Postby Normandy » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:11 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Oh my god.

What? Please don't tell me you are going to disagree with me. I have a pro (who is very good and quite respected) on my side...


No that was directed at the latest windfield. :lol:
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#2162 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:11 pm

Please watch a WV loop of the storm - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Clearly, the outflow at <i>some</i> levels in the western semicircle of the storm is being restricted. It's shear.

I'll admit the eye looks better than it has all day, but there is without a doubt some shear impacting the western side.
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#2163 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:11 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Oh my god.

What? Please don't tell me you are going to disagree with me. I have a pro (who is very good and quite respected) on my side...

The windfield I think is why he said that.
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#2164 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:11 pm

Normandy wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Oh my god.

What? Please don't tell me you are going to disagree with me. I have a pro (who is very good and quite respected) on my side...


No that was directed at the latest windfield. :lol:

Oh, lol. Sorry... :D
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#2165 Postby Foladar0 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:11 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Oh my god.

What? Please don't tell me you are going to disagree with me. I have a pro (who is very good and quite respected) on my side...

I don't disagree, but just because a pro met, respected or not, agrees with you - doesn't make you correct.
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#2166 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:13 pm

i agree somethingis there that is hurting the NW quad....it does look better however
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#2167 Postby Normandy » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:14 pm

PurdueWx80 wrote:Please watch a WV loop of the storm - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Clearly, the outflow at <i>some</i> levels in the western semicircle of the storm is being restricted. It's shear.

I'll admit the eye looks better than it has all day, but there is without a doubt some shear impacting the western side.


I agree the outflow is being restricted, but with that windfield it wont need to be a Cat5 to cause insane damage.
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#2168 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:14 pm

Foladar0 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
Normandy wrote:Oh my god.

What? Please don't tell me you are going to disagree with me. I have a pro (who is very good and quite respected) on my side...

I don't disagree, but just because a pro met, respected or not, agrees with you - doesn't make you correct.

I understand your point. When a pro on the other side makes a contradictory argument I'll give it more thought. I just don't think we'll get back to a 5 as long as the western side is decayed.

If it rebuilds (and it could, you never know), then it will become much more likely especially as the remainder of the storm is very impressive. But time is running out...

Either way, this will be a catastrophic event as dhweather pointed out in the other thread. It really is a moot point...
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#2169 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:15 pm

Crap, she is rebuilding on her western side. Not good...
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#2170 Postby caneman » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:15 pm

deltadog03 wrote:i agree somethingis there that is hurting the NW quad....it does look better however


Yes but none the less she looks to gain Cat. 5 status 1 more time.
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#2171 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:16 pm

PurdueWx80 wrote:Please watch a WV loop of the storm - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Clearly, the outflow at <i>some</i> levels in the western semicircle of the storm is being restricted. It's shear.

I'll admit the eye looks better than it has all day, but there is without a doubt some shear impacting the western side.


The NW Quad may be inhibited somewhat, but that could just be the hurricane contracting and becoming annular (which the outer rainbands would mostly dissapear). Also note, on the left edge of the frames, that the dry air is modifying, and is being pushed away. A hurricane this powerful is mostly unaffected by dry air; only shear, land, and cold water can weaken it. Shear, as I have mentioned, is minimal at best.
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#2172 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:16 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Either way, this will be a catastrophic event as dhweather pointed out in the other thread. It really is a moot point...


Exactly!
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#2173 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:16 pm

http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goes/
Whoa saved this pic
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#2174 Postby dhweather » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:16 pm

I firmly believe despite the previous degredation of the NW quad,
she's restrengthening and is most certainly a cat 5 again.

WHERE IS THE RECON MAN!!!!!!
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#2175 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:18 pm

dhweather wrote:I firmly believe despite the previous degredation of the NW quad,
she's restrengthening and is most certainly a cat 5 again.

WHERE IS THE RECON MAN!!!!!!


RECON MAN is on it's way David. :)
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#2176 Postby dhweather » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:20 pm

cycloneye wrote:
dhweather wrote:I firmly believe despite the previous degredation of the NW quad,
she's restrengthening and is most certainly a cat 5 again.

WHERE IS THE RECON MAN!!!!!!


RECON MAN is on it's way David. :)


And Luis, I can never thank you enough for the TREMENDOUS JOB you do
keeping that all updated and tidy.

I say we have a "POSTER OF THE YEAR" contest, and I nominate YOU!
:D :D :D

David
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#2177 Postby jhamps10 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:24 pm

dhweather wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
dhweather wrote:I firmly believe despite the previous degredation of the NW quad,
she's restrengthening and is most certainly a cat 5 again.

WHERE IS THE RECON MAN!!!!!!


RECON MAN is on it's way David. :)


And Luis, I can never thank you enough for the TREMENDOUS JOB you do
keeping that all updated and tidy.

I say we have a "POSTER OF THE YEAR" contest, and I nominate YOU!
:D :D :D

David


i'll second that.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2178 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:24 pm

She looks very very good. I don't see one thing wrong with her. her eye is now clearing out good. In she has likely droped to at least 914 millibars. She's been dealing with dry air her hole life!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2179 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:25 pm

dhweather wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
dhweather wrote:I firmly believe despite the previous degredation of the NW quad,
she's restrengthening and is most certainly a cat 5 again.

WHERE IS THE RECON MAN!!!!!!


RECON MAN is on it's way David. :)


And Luis, I can never thank you enough for the TREMENDOUS JOB you do
keeping that all updated and tidy.

I say we have a "POSTER OF THE YEAR" contest, and I nominate YOU!
:D :D :D

David


How about Admin? Cycloneye has helped this board alot. In he is one of the reasons why it has grown so large.

:wink:
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#2180 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:25 pm

Image
I noticed the new GFDL, the LBAR still locked into the Tampa Bay/St. Pete.
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