Hurricane Wilma Recon Discussion Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
weatherFrEaK
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 12:57 pm
Location: Earth

#681 Postby weatherFrEaK » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:39 pm

URNT12 KNHC 202331Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 20/2305Z
B. 18 DEG 57 MIN N
85 DEG 45 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2447 MA
D. 90
E. 315 DEG 20 NM
F. 29 DEG 130 KT
G. 295 DEG 20 NM
H. 923 MB
I. 11 C/ 3064 M
J. 22 C/ 3062 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C 40
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1124A WILMA OB 06
MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 2312Z
SFC WIND FROM DROPSONDE, GOOD RADAR PRESENTATION
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#682 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:41 pm

I know this is an older POD, but it's the busiest I've ever seen one.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT THU 20 OCT 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z OCT 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-145

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE WILMA
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 21/1800,22/0030Z A. 22/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1524A WILMA B. NOAA9 1624A WILMA
C. 21/1430Z C. 21/1800Z
D. 20.7N 86.9W D. NA
E. 21/1730Z TO 22/0000Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE FLIGHT FOUR
A. 22/0300,0600,0900Z A. 22/1200Z
B. AFXXX 1724A WILMA B. NOAA9 1824A WILMA
C. 21/2330Z C. 22/0600Z
D. 21.4N 86.8W D. NA
E. 22/0230Z TO 22/0915Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE
A. 22/1200,1500,1800Z
B. NOAA2 1924A WILMA
C. 22/1000Z
D. 22.0N 86.2W
E. 22/1130Z TO 22/1815Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES.
A P-3 SFMR MISSION AT 23/1200Z. A POSSIBLE G-IV
MISSION FOR 23/0000Z.


It doesn't have any more flights on there for today, but this list starts at 6am tomorrow. If anyone knows about a plane going out later tonight, please post so!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#683 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:43 pm

Pressure seems to have flattened out for now, but that windspeed is down a good bit.
0 likes   
Top
bigmoney755

#684 Postby bigmoney755 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 7:05 pm

how come were getting these vortex messages but no one has posted any of those flight level data observations? Also, when do you think we can get another plan to take more samples? thanks
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2021
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#685 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:08 pm

no flights until 6 AM??? Whiskey Tango Foxtrot!!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#686 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:27 pm

Plane ready to take off.

SXXX50 KNHC 210118
AF306 1324A WILMA HDOB 01 KNHC
0108 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 220 112 000 00000 0000000000
0108. 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 216 112 000 00000 0000000000
0109 3355N 08431W 00296 5306 360 000 216 114 000 00000 0000000000
0109. 3355N 08431W 00296 5306 360 000 216 114 000 00000 0000000000
0110 3355N 08431W 00296 5305 360 000 216 114 000 00000 0000000000
0110. 3355N 08431W 00296 5306 360 000 216 112 000 00000 0000000000
0111 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 216 110 000 00000 0000000000
0111. 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 212 110 000 00000 0000000000
0112 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 210 112 000 00000 0000000000
0112. 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 210 112 000 00000 0000000000
0113 3355N 08431W 00295 5306 360 000 210 112 000 00000 0000000000
0113. 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 212 112 000 00000 0000000000
0114 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 216 116 000 00000 0000000000
0114. 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 216 114 000 00000 0000000000
0115 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 216 114 000 00000 0000000000
0115. 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 212 116 000 00000 0000000000
0116 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 210 118 000 00000 0000000000
0116. 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 210 118 000 00000 0000000000
0117 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 212 118 000 00000 0000000000
0117. 3355N 08431W 00296 5307 360 000 216 118 000 00000 0000000000
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2021
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#687 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:34 pm

SUUUUHWEEEEEEETTTTTTTTTT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#688 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:42 pm

Luis, where is the plane coming from? Alabama or Georgia again?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#689 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 8:44 pm

Georgia.

Plane has departed the base.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#690 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:20 pm

They will find 160 mph winds with 914 millibars.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
johngaltfla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2072
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:17 pm
Location: Sarasota County, FL
Contact:
Contact johngaltfla

#691 Postby johngaltfla » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:25 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:They will find 160 mph winds with 914 millibars.


I'm betting 902 with 165, gusts to 205...
0 likes   
Top
bigmoney755

#692 Postby bigmoney755 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:28 pm

my guess is 915mb with 160mph...im being conservative so I dont get too far ahead of myself.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#693 Postby feederband » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:45 pm

What time should recon be back in the storm? I need to catch some z's
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#694 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:47 pm

Around 1-1:30 AM EDT the plane should be very close to Wilma.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#695 Postby feederband » Thu Oct 20, 2005 9:48 pm

thanx
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#696 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:35 pm

Bad news.I am going so no data posting from me.But I know that someone will continue to post the data for this overnight mission.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2021
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#697 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:07 pm

james has got the helm! thanks james!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#698 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:19 pm

No problem I am happy to do it any time I am needed!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2021
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

#699 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:22 pm

looks like the plane is almost there
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#700 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:28 pm

CronkPSU wrote:looks like the plane is almost there


It'll be another 40 minutes or so before they reach the center.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: kevin, Teban54 and 69 guests