Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

jkt21787 · #2281 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:48 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Ok who's updating the Models tonight? GFS is ready to go..

I think we're about out to 30 or so hours thus far. Should know a lot VERY soon...

#2282 Postby **THead** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:49 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
THead wrote:Yeah, I was assuming, and hoping they meant it would only POSSIBLY be a Cat 3. I'd be amazed if it was any stronger, but we've been amazed too much this year. Like when someone posted recon the other night at 901mb while she was bombing, i said 'rrrrrrrrrrrright'...

And I had to correct you to tell you it was in fact right. I still hope you didn't hurt yourself afterward! I know I almost tipped over in my chair when I saw it!

My neck was sore from shaking my head in disbelief......and then to wake up to 882.....still can't believe it.

Scorpion · #2283 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:49 pm

GFS is still on crack.

#2284 Postby **O Town** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:50 pm

jkt21787 · #2285 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:51 pm

Scorpion wrote:GFS is still on crack.

Haven't looked at the output, but the GFS is running normal with all of the data, nothing bad according to NCEP. This will be a very credible run as far as I'm concerned.

Scorpion · #2286 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:51 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:GFS is still on crack.

Haven't looked at the output, but the GFS is running normal with all of the data, nothing bad according to NCEP. This will be a very credible run as far as I'm concerned.

It takes it straight west into the Yucatan. Clearly that will not happen.

jkt21787 · #2287 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:53 pm

Scorpion wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:GFS is still on crack.

Haven't looked at the output, but the GFS is running normal with all of the data, nothing bad according to NCEP. This will be a very credible run as far as I'm concerned.

It takes it straight west into the Yucatan. Clearly that will not happen.

Whats make it so clear? Nothing is 100%. Isidore was drawn into the Yucatan, Mitch even got drawn into Central America when forecasted to move north. It could happen. Don't discredit it so fast.

DESTRUCTION5 · #2288 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:53 pm

Scorpion wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:GFS is still on crack.

Haven't looked at the output, but the GFS is running normal with all of the data, nothing bad according to NCEP. This will be a very credible run as far as I'm concerned.

It takes it straight west into the Yucatan. Clearly that will not happen.

I waiting up to hear this Crap again? LOL..Friggin GFS

6SpeedTA95 · #2289 Postby **6SpeedTA95** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:53 pm

Gotta love BAMM, that thing has been all over the place, one extreme or the other...although thats kinda typical of BAMM.

#2290 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:54 pm

Her western edge is really starting to expand now.

jkt21787 · #2291 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:54 pm

Let me add I do think its wrong though :wink:

Scorpion · #2292 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:54 pm

Oh geez, out to 60 hours and still over the Yucatan. Oh please!

DESTRUCTION5 · #2293 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:55 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Let me add I do think its wrong though

LMAO..No doubt..

#2294 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:55 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Let me add I do think its wrong though

LMAO..No doubt..

...and this is supposed to be the credible GFS we've been waiting on?

jkt21787 · #2295 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:56 pm

This is clearly what I get for calling ANY GFS run credible...much less this one.

Stratosphere747 · #2296 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:57 pm

skysummit wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Let me add I do think its wrong though

LMAO..No doubt..

...and this is supposed to be the credible GFS we've been waiting on?

Yes...It has the the full data from the NOAA flight...

DESTRUCTION5 · #2297 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:57 pm

skysummit wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Let me add I do think its wrong though

LMAO..No doubt..

...and this is supposed to be the credible GFS we've been waiting on?

Simply Sickening...72 Hrs..Same Spot..LMAO

Scorpion · #2298 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:57 pm

I really don't understand the solution. It wants to send it due west and stop it for 72 friggen hours.

jkt21787 · #2299 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:58 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
skysummit wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Let me add I do think its wrong though

LMAO..No doubt..

...and this is supposed to be the credible GFS we've been waiting on?

Yes...It has the the full data from the NOAA flight...

And this is why in the back of my mind I don't want to 100% discredit it.

#2300 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Oct 20, 2005 10:58 pm

can someone post the SFWMD model run? I am over in punta gorda helping my uncle put up shutters tonight and I am going home tomorrow... thanks

Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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