Wind Predictions -- South Florida as of 4 AM - 10/21/05

[SamSagnella]

At the very least, I think Wilma will be more than a TS upon exit of the FL E coast. Nice graphic!

[Foladar0]

wow that would put me in barely TS winds ..

[inotherwords]

Nice graphic, Kevin! How fast do you think it will be moving at the point of landfall there?

[Scorpion]

I doubt it will weaken to a TS if it hits at 120 mph.

[jlauderdal]

Hey Guys, here's my preliminary 'worst case scenario' possibility for South Florida. The problem is, this scenario is EXTREMELY possible at this time. This graphic is based on predictions by the NHC and members of Storm2k.org, but is not endorsed by any proffesional meteoroligist, any storm2k.org supervisor or administrator, or the national hurricane center, for official information turn to the NHC.



Kevin Cho - City of Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

your map of trop storm force wind isn't nearly inclusive enough. try putting your trop storm force winds 200 miles from your landfall point, right now they extend out around 240 or so, so 200 with a weaker storm that it will be would be reasonable. please adjust and resubmit.

[superfly]

There's no way she will hit as a major cane and not exit as at least a cat 1 at the speed she'll be moving.

[Weatherfreak14]

I agree, the most she will be is a CAT 2 and exit as a TS.

[vbhoutex]

Kevin I think you did a very nice job with the map. I do agree though that the TS force winds are way under done on both sides of the track.

[Trader Ron]

I agree, the most she will be is a CAT 2 and exit as a TS.

I think strong Cat 1 maybe weak Cat 2 at landfall, somewhere around Marco island or a smidge south.

I said North of Tampa 4 day's ago, so take my forecast with a grain of salt.

[Trader Ron]

Guys lol...sorry lol, I wasn't thinking at all, it was 4 AM i'd been up for hours trying to prepare...i'm right where it's supposed to make landfall so haha..anyway, i'm redoing the map now, however, i've realized that wind fields are often smaller than they actually are, and that is why I didn't make the TS winds as big, but I realize it's really much larger than yesterday so I will update now.

Kevin Cho - City of Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

Kevin.

Great work as always.
When i started following Hurricanes, they didn't have Television.

[jlauderdal]

Guys lol...sorry lol, I wasn't thinking at all, it was 4 AM i'd been up for hours trying to prepare...i'm right where it's supposed to make landfall so haha..anyway, i'm redoing the map now, however, i've realized that wind fields are often smaller than they actually are, and that is why I didn't make the TS winds as big, but I realize it's really much larger than yesterday so I will update now.

Kevin Cho - City of Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

good deal, i like the map and the work is excellent. lets us see the new map asap as it will be the first one i have seen with the windfield for florida.