Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[HurricaneGirl]

[cinlfla]

GFS 12z 84 hours

[chris_fit]

Station: Cancun
Location: Longitud: -86.77583 latitud: 21.07500

Conditions at 21/10/2005/13:40 GMT

Wind Direction:
Wind Speed: 128.10 km/h
Wind Gust: 153.60 km/h
Atmospheric Pressure: 981.30 mb

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/productos/emas/txt/QR01_10M.TXT

Nasty

[cinlfla]

GFS 12z 96 hours

[DESTRUCTION5]

Station: Cancun
Location: Longitud: -86.77583 latitud: 21.07500

Conditions at 21/10/2005/13:40 GMT

Wind Direction:
Wind Speed: 128.10 km/h
Wind Gust: 153.60 km/h
Atmospheric Pressure: 981.30 mb

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/productos/emas/txt/QR01_10M.TXT

Holy Crap!!!....Cancun will be leveled...

[chris_fit]

GFS looks like another slight adjustment to the north thus far.

[melhow]

dum dum question on the graphics on the GFS above. The red and pink colors. Is that pressure gradients or wind speeds?

[DESTRUCTION5]

GFS looks like another slight adjustment to the north thus far.

GFS looks like its getting its Credibility back...

[chris_fit]

dum dum question on the graphics on the GFS above. The red and pink colors. Is that pressure gradients or wind speeds?

Precipitation

[LanceW]

GFS looks like another slight adjustment to the north thus far.

Also looks to be slower over the state? And stronger as well? (I can't read the graphics very well, so I am asking.)

[chris_fit]

GFS looks like another slight adjustment to the north thus far.

Also looks to be slower over the state? And stronger as well? (I can't read the graphics very well, so I am asking.)

From glancing at what is out so far, little stronger yes. Similar speed as previous.

[DESTRUCTION5]

GFS looks like another slight adjustment to the north thus far.

Also looks to be slower over the state? And stronger as well? (I can't read the graphics very well, so I am asking.)

Correct..

[LilNoles2005]

128.1 hm/h = about 80 mph

153.6 km/h = about 95 mph

that's pretty gusty!

[jpigott]

those readings on Cancun are in kilometers/hr, no doubt wind is still strong though. On another note, if Wilma doesn't pull up fast she is going to spend a significant amount of time over the Yucatan and be gutted. Good for FL - really really bad for the Yucatan. Cozumel and Cancun may see sustained hurricane force winds for 24+ hours

[LanceW]

Looking at the WV loop, the western side looks compressed. Maybe more north motion coming?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[curtadams]

Looks like an ERC may be starting again. Definitely signs of another outer eyewall forming on the latest radar with the inner one startig to shrink. Am I seeing things?

IMO just an illusion as the radar cannot penetrate those torrential rains.

No, the eyewall near Cancun is noticeably weaker than the part further. That's not attenuation. Plus the eyewall isn't nice and circular - it zigzags - and there's some rainshowers in the eye.

[HURAKAN]

Cozumel now is under the western eyewall, hell should be breaking loose in that place.

First when I saw the image I though Cozumel had dissapeared.

[cinlfla]

Yes it did look a little slower to me as well, but the thing I noticed was the stall was as pronounced as before maybe a slow mover into the Gulf.

[vbhoutex]

Station: Cancun
Location: Longitud: -86.77583 latitud: 21.07500

Conditions at 21/10/2005/13:40 GMT

Wind Direction:
Wind Speed: 128.10 km/h
Wind Gust: 153.60 km/h
Atmospheric Pressure: 981.30 mb

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/productos/emas/txt/QR01_10M.TXT

128.1 km/h = 80 mph
153.6km/h = 95 mph

http://www.onlineconversion.com/

[cmdebbie]

First when I saw the image I though Cozumel had dissapeared.

Unfortunately, it may.