Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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#3021 Postby artist » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:43 pm

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loop_Current
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CHRISTY

#3022 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:43 pm

yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..
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#3023 Postby LanceW » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:44 pm

O Town wrote:
LanceW wrote:Ok call me lazy, but where is Ft Meyers in relation to say Tampa? I know I could use Google to find it, but y'all are quicker. Thank you for entertaining my question.
Image

Fort Myers is in Lee county. :D


Thanks for the help.
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#3024 Postby Mello1 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:46 pm

CHRISTY wrote:yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..

If she doesn't speed up, her eye may stall just off the coast. This is going to be a close call. For the Yucatan and Florida.

I know the wait sucks.
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#3025 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:46 pm

wow, wilma is trying to avoid hitting land. She's taking a wobble paralleling the coast right now.

If anything she's about stalled right off the coast.

Amazing.
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#3026 Postby eyewall07 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:47 pm

Last image looks like a slight NE wobble. AND I DO MEAN WOBBLE.
This will probably be the case for the next 12-18 hours or so. And it does look the land is starting to effect the system as reds and dark oranges on IR seem to be fading.
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#3027 Postby tracyswfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:47 pm

Mello1 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..

If she doesn't speed up, her eye may stall just off the coast. This is going to be a close call. For the Yucatan and Florida.

I know the wait sucks.


We are all so weary of waiting for wobbly wilma. ugh
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#3028 Postby fci » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:47 pm

CHRISTY wrote:read the discusion!


You are referring to some intensification from the extremely weakened state it will probably be in after its visit to the Yucatan.
Not a bombing of the system by any stretch.
Read the discussions and note that it will be in an increasingly hostile environment
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#3029 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:48 pm

tracyswfla wrote:
Mello1 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..

If she doesn't speed up, her eye may stall just off the coast. This is going to be a close call. For the Yucatan and Florida.

I know the wait sucks.


We are all so weary of waiting for wobbly wilma. ugh


I'm sick of it... and I don't live in the path. :roll:
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#3030 Postby Mello1 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:49 pm

tracyswfla wrote:
Mello1 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..

If she doesn't speed up, her eye may stall just off the coast. This is going to be a close call. For the Yucatan and Florida.

I know the wait sucks.


We are all so weary of waiting for wobbly wilma. ugh

I know! It sucks. Especially for you guys because I know you guys need to know what to do. But it's moving so slow that these 'wobbles' are a big deal right now.
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O Town
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#3031 Postby O Town » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:51 pm

Image
She still looking pretty good for hangin off the coast for so long. Still a well formed eye.
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#3032 Postby fasterdisaster » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:53 pm

O Town wrote:Image
She still looking pretty good for hangin off the coast for so long. Still a well formed eye.


And definitely still Category 4 appearance, 140 mph again for 8 PM.
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#3033 Postby Praxus » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:54 pm

I wonder if Cancun will get a greater than expected storm surge if it stalls
close to where it is now...or even just moves north/northwest slowly.
Last edited by Praxus on Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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250m resolution Satellite pic of Wilma

#3034 Postby littlevince » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:54 pm

Date: 2005/294 - 10/21
16 :25 UTC
Satellite: Terra

Links:
- 2km
- 250m
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#3035 Postby fci » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:57 pm

Praxus wrote:Looking pretty stationary....bad news for cancun AND florida if it doesn't
move much more westwards.


No, if it sits where it is it will weaken.
And that will be GOOD news for Florida.
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#3036 Postby tracyswfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:58 pm

Brent wrote:
tracyswfla wrote:
Mello1 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:yep wobbles can make a big difference ive seen models showing wilma hugging the coast all the way till she makes it into the gulf of mexico..

If she doesn't speed up, her eye may stall just off the coast. This is going to be a close call. For the Yucatan and Florida.

I know the wait sucks.


We are all so weary of waiting for wobbly wilma. ugh


I'm sick of it... and I don't live in the path. :roll:


What's so awful is we all just want to have her get her if she is going to, go away and let us get on with our lives!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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cjrciadt
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Re: 250m resolution Satellite pic of Wilma

#3037 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:58 pm

littlevince wrote:Date: 2005/294 - 10/21
16 :25 UTC
Satellite: Terra

Links:
- 2km
- 250m
thanks
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#3038 Postby Jevo » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:59 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Cold fronts are alot easier to predict than cyclones. The front is forecast to be at or past Tampa. No Way the storm wll go through the front. Ft.Myers or south is the best forecast at this point.

As far as current movement, I fear a lot of wierd wobbles and jerks. Opehila comes to mind. The first part of the forecast is almost impossiable to pin down right now, and yet it is the most important for the final intensity.


A front that is supposed to clear the FL peninsula aint going to happen this early. Models are jumping on this trough to quick.


Heh chris.. im in Parkland..... if youre steering a storm away from us right now... im seriously considering on putting up my shutters..... i wasnt before i saw your tampa prediction
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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#3039 Postby Praxus » Fri Oct 21, 2005 5:59 pm

I disagree. If it sits where it is, I don't see it weakening as much as if it had gone further inland; the expectation of which is part of the rationale for the NHC downgrading the florida landfall intensity.
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#3040 Postby O Town » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:01 pm

Wow,good image links Vince. :D
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