Watches/Warnings..?

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Josephine96

Watches/Warnings..?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 4:10 am

Since the NHC says a hurricane watch/warning will likely be required for parts of Central and South Fla today.. here's the question..

Where do you think the watches/warnings will extend from..?
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TampaFl
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#2 Postby TampaFl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 4:28 am

Quote:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.




IMHO, I think hurricane watches will be posted first along the FL West Coast from Tarpon Springs southward to Cape Sable, & from the Dry Tortugas to Key West & all the way up to Key Largo. A tropical Storm Watch from north of Key Largo north to West Palm Beach.


Robert 8-)
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caneman

#3 Postby caneman » Sat Oct 22, 2005 4:43 am

I do believe Hurricane Watch will start from Tarpon Spring Southward. Interesting the GFS has been very reliable, in fact, GFDL has come in line with it. Looks to me like landfall will be between POrt Charlotte and Ft. Myers. Expect to ad 25 to 30 winds on top of what ever they system is at landfall. The storm is epxected to be moving at 35 mph so if wilma is 100 mph at landfall damage will be tha of a 125 mph storm. I exprct surge to be from 7 to 10 ft. I would bet that all of Central and South Florida will experience at least TS strength winds. The good news it will be over quick the bad a lot of area will be affected. This will probably resemble the storm of the centruy for West Florida.
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#4 Postby TampaFl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 4:56 am

Agree Caneman, IMHO the GFDL & the GFS have become more consistant over the last several runs. A Venice to Fort Myers landfall is ,I think very possible. Which means (if this happens) that the conditions here in the Tampa Bay area will be alot worse. :eek: . Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)
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