Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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#4321 Postby skysummit » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:38 am

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#4322 Postby gtsmith » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:39 am

I know TWC has it's issues, but during times like this I like to watch it 'cause Stephanie Abrams is so HOT!
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#4323 Postby wxwatcher2 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:40 am

Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.
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#4324 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:41 am

gtsmith wrote:I know TWC has it's issues, but during times like this I like to watch it 'cause Stephanie Abrams is so HOT!


Let's not deviate to other things and continue the discussions about Wilma.
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#4325 Postby gtsmith » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:43 am

"Let's not deviate to other things and continue the discussions about Wilma."

Sorry, just couldn't resist.

How much will the shear effect the storm?
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#4326 Postby FlaNativeMom » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:44 am

Point taken, Hurakan. What I was referring to was the ongoing battle as to which area of the state, or side of the "track" would see more action/damage. Same soup, different bowl.

After seeing what Mexico went through, and enduring this excruciating wait, I just hope we all skate through this! Stay safe everyone. Off to church - will check in later.

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#4327 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:44 am

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#4328 Postby jpigott » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:44 am

wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead
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#4329 Postby inotherwords » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:44 am

cycloneye wrote:
gtsmith wrote:I know TWC has it's issues, but during times like this I like to watch it 'cause Stephanie Abrams is so HOT!


Let's not deviate to other things and continue the discussions about Wilma.


Wilma = not so hot. 8-)
Last edited by inotherwords on Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#4330 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:45 am

Thanks Eric. I knew there was suppost to be shear effecting Wilma, but since she sat for so long on and around the Yucatan was not sure if it had changed. There is a ton of shear in front of her and looks to get worse as she gets closer to Florida. Lets hope this prevents a huge increase in her winds. Humm, I just saw the other shear map and it looks like the shear isn't as bad on that one, 0 shear off the coast of Naples. But still a good bit in the gulf. Thanks skysummit as well. :D
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#4331 Postby caneman » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:46 am

wxwatcher2 wrote:Such good sound info being bantied about this morning.

Best quote of the season was the being pulled apart by the Tampa folks vs the South Florida folks pulling on Wilma. Hillarious.

Unless Wilma turns more toward the NNE, it looks like the Naples forecast is a good one.
My prediction is a Cat 1 at landfall. Florida gets off fairly easy with Wilma.


If you cant see the system falling apart or the substantial shear ahead than I'm not sure what to tell you/
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#4332 Postby LAwxrgal » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:48 am

inotherwords wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
gtsmith wrote:I know TWC has it's issues, but during times like this I like to watch it 'cause Stephanie Abrams is so HOT!


Let's not deviate to other things and continue the discussions about Wilma.


Wilma = not so hot. 8-)


Wilma=a pain in the rear. :P :x
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#4333 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:49 am

It is NOT weakening right now.
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#4334 Postby jpigott » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:49 am

someone needs to reposition the ramsdis satellite. On the latest couple of images it appears as if storms are still firing in and around to the center. also appears to still be wrapping around the sw portion of the center, which i understand to mean we will not have any extratropical transition in the short term
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#4335 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:49 am

and wouldn't the shear cause an expansion of the wind field
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#4336 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:51 am

krysof wrote:http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&traveler=0&article=6

Could this happen?


Yeah, but it's nowhere near as possible as they make it sound.
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#4337 Postby k-man » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:52 am

jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....
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#4338 Postby jujubean » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:53 am

ok I'm officially confused now....at the 8:00 a.m. advisory, ed rappaport said in southeast fl we would experience winds of strong cat 1 or moderate cat 2 winds here...he also said the worst weather would be on the right side which would be the south I think...but I've read some post here that say ft.myers and the bad weather north , so what I would like to know is what we should expect here in extreme south dade. any thoughts.and also what are the odds of the storm coming in a little south of the nhc forcast track?
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#4339 Postby thermos » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:53 am

Good morning. Why does the TWC look like a morning talk show? They are all sitting on a sofa. I can't tell what Wilma is doing this morning so I will go with strengthening but only because this is 2005. If this were any other season I would say Wilma is not strengthening.
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#4340 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:53 am

k-man wrote:
jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....


Learn how to watch a sat loop.
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