Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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wxwatcher91
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#4341 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:54 am

Scorpion wrote:It is NOT weakening right now.


can you elaborate? I'm really curious about what's going on right now.

why do you think its not weakening? what do you think is going on?
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#4342 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:55 am

k-man wrote:
jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....


Yeah, I think she wants to give the U.S a break, something many storms this year haven't given. Of course with her power she had and records she destroyed, she had to do something. Unfortunately she picked Cozumel and the Yucatan to release her energy.
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#4343 Postby Bgator » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:58 am

You think its weakening because u look at IR that can be decieving, it looks perfect on visible imager, and NHC IR imagery is very poor, try NASA's!
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#4344 Postby skysummit » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:58 am

Outer feeder bands approaching Key West.

Image
http://img409.imageshack.us/img409/7707/14ep2.png
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#4345 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:00 am

Image
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#4346 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:00 am

Where'd you get the background for the GRLevel3, skysummit? That's a nice one.
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#4347 Postby skysummit » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:01 am

WindRunner wrote:Where'd you get the background for the GRLevel3? That's a nice one.


Last one on the page at the top...
http://www.allisonhouse.com/grlevelx/maps/
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#4348 Postby Myersgirl » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:04 am

Which side of the storm do you expect the strongest winds and worse weather? Ussually NW quad, but the storm looks a little NE heavy to me.
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#4349 Postby thermos » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:05 am

O Town wrote:Image


Wilma's lookin pretty bad ass in this image.
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#4350 Postby Typhoon » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:05 am

Myersgirl wrote:Which side of the storm do you expect the strongest winds and worse weather? Ussually NW quad, but the storm looks a little NE heavy to me.


The worst part of the storm is typically the right front quadrant. That would often be the NE quad, but for Wilma it is the SE quad.
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#4351 Postby k-man » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:07 am

Scorpion wrote:
k-man wrote:
jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....




Learn how to watch a sat loop.


Hoping for a big one Scorpion...sorry friend it appears you're out of luck. Thanks for the nice attitude though. Always appreciated. Listen the Mets...Lyons said this morning that she is weakening and further strengthening not likely. I'm not certain, but I'm pretty sure he knows a thing or two about satellite loops. :D
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#4352 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:08 am

skysummit wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Where'd you get the background for the GRLevel3? That's a nice one.


Last one on the page at the top...
http://www.allisonhouse.com/grlevelx/maps/


Thanks!
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#4353 Postby Bgator » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:08 am

k-man wrote:
Scorpion wrote:
k-man wrote:
jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....


And the NHC says it will still strengthen and is not weaken, i much rather listen to them, The storm looks the same it did last night, and it is not yet over loop current!



Learn how to watch a sat loop.


Hoping for a big one Scorpion...sorry friend it appears you're out of luck. Thanks for the nice attitude though. Always appreciated. Listen the Mets...Lyons said this morning that she is weakening and further strengthening not likely. I'm not certain, but I'm pretty sure he knows a thing or two about satellite loops. :D
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#4354 Postby tracyswfla » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:09 am

Would you all please quit arguing. Those of us who are in the warning area are nervous enough. Please have some respect for each other and those of us that are in the storms path..... Thanks.... alot.
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#4355 Postby skysummit » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:10 am

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#4356 Postby k-man » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:10 am

tracyswfla wrote:Would you all please quit arguing. Those of us who are in the warning area are nervous enough. Please have some respect for each other and those of us that are in the storms path..... Thanks.... alot.


Talk to Scorpion....he's the one who got snotty. I'm just reading along and posting my thoughts like everyone else.
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#4357 Postby storms in NC » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:11 am

k-man wrote:
Scorpion wrote:
k-man wrote:
jpigott wrote:
wxwatcher2 wrote:Looking at the location of the front and the shear North of the core of what is Wilma, I really see no way for any intensification. If anything the winds aloft are going to start tearing Wilma apart before the storm reaches the U.S. coast. Strong winds and rain for sure but nothing like a cat 2 or 3. I see only a Cat 1 and not a very strong one at that.


interesting that Derek Ortt's newest forecast still calls for a 2/3 at landfall, that is going to be tough with all the shear ahead


I was suprised to see this too. I think that they're bullish on intensity....she looks like she's being pulled apart right now. I've been saying for days that I don't think this storm is going to be that bad at all. I think cat one at landfall....




Learn how to watch a sat loop.


Hoping for a big one Scorpion...sorry friend it appears you're out of luck. Thanks for the nice attitude though. Always appreciated. Listen the Mets...Lyons said this morning that she is weakening and further strengthening not likely. I'm not certain, but I'm pretty sure he knows a thing or two about satellite loops. :D


If you want to go by Lyons than go ahead. But I wouldn't. You can see the eye getting tighter. And I am not met but years of looking at satellites. Just my two cents worth
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#4358 Postby LAwxrgal » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:11 am

Agreed Tracy.... let's play nice....

A Cat 1 or 2 is nothing to play with. Stay safe everyone in this storm's path.
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#4359 Postby theworld » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:12 am

she is wrapping up.
Image
Image
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#4360 Postby thermos » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:13 am

They are just blaming the Scorpion because they think the Scorpion is wrong. Wilma's pressure has held and it looks impressive so it is not getting weaker.
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