Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[tampastorm]

From the looks of it, the worst of the weather on the east coast is going to stay from Fort Lauderdale northward. It's already at Key West's latitude, so I'm not sure why people are saying Miami will get a cat 2.

The weather will be to the south and the eye is 55miles wide, some of the eye will pass over dade, and strongest winds o south, miami gets cat 2!

Everything I have heard says worse "weather" will be North of center. Looking at radar that is confirmed.

[StormFury]

Bryan Norcross said the strongest winds are on the southern side!

[mtm4319]

From the looks of it, the worst of the weather on the east coast is going to stay from Fort Lauderdale northward. It's already at Key West's latitude, so I'm not sure why people are saying Miami will get a cat 2.

The weather will be to the south and the eye is 55miles wide, some of the eye will pass over dade, and strongest winds o south, miami gets cat 2!

Strongest winds are in the NE quadrant according to recon.

It should track somewhere between Irene and Mitch:





My guess is damage in Miami will be about as bad as Katrina was. Katrina was a cat 1 that went just north of the city, and Wilma is/will be a cat 2/3 passing well north of the city.

[CronkPSU]

when you have a 50 mile eye, how do they determine the landfall point?

[DESTRUCTION5]

That was the best Disc I ever Read...

[wxwatcher2]

From the looks of it, the worst of the weather on the east coast is going to stay from Fort Lauderdale northward. It's already at Key West's latitude, so I'm not sure why people are saying Miami will get a cat 2.

I think because of the large wind field associated with this hurricane.
I'm not sure of a lot of things myself, but it doesn't mean it isn't happening.

Wilma is stronger than anyone really predicted. A lot of folks along the her path are going to be surprised.

[gtalum]

Wilma is stronger than anyone really predicted. A lot of folks along the her path are going to be surprised.

She was forecast to come ashore as a Cat 2 or cat 3. Why should anyone be surprised when she does that?

[Deb321]

From the looks of it, the worst of the weather on the east coast is going to stay from Fort Lauderdale northward. It's already at Key West's latitude, so I'm not sure why people are saying Miami will get a cat 2.

The weather will be to the south and the eye is 55miles wide, some of the eye will pass over dade, and strongest winds o south, miami gets cat 2!

Everything I have heard says worse "weather" will be North of center. Looking at radar that is confirmed.

I believe that will be on entrance on the west coast it will be to the south when it exits on the east coast at least that is what I have been told . Correct me please if I am wrong.

[mtm4319]

A bit off my home state's topic, but did you guys see the 5 day? Wow. Can you imagine, in your lifetime, a tropical system heading up to Nova Scotia and Nefwoundland?

I love watching and writing about history, but this is amazing.

Yes...

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

[vaffie]

You know, did you guys notice that the dropsonde doesn't discuss two eyewalls now, it's one eyewall and it's circular 55 miles! And the temperature difference is now 9 degrees! That temp difference and a clarified eye structure means it will be strengthening as it approaches...

[mtm4319]

You know, did you guys notice that the dropsonde doesn't discuss two eyewalls now, it's one eyewall and it's circular 55 miles! And the temperature difference is now 9 degrees! That temp difference and a clarified eye structure means it will be strengthening as it approaches...

It was 6 degrees on the latest vortex message.

I. 9 C/ 3037 m
J. 15 C/ 3048 m

[DESTRUCTION5]

Logging off for the night...When Ill be back nobody knows...Will most likely be in FPL's hands...

[wxwatcher2]

Wilma is stronger than anyone really predicted. A lot of folks along the her path are going to be surprised.

She was forecast to come ashore as a Cat 2 or cat 3. Why should anyone be surprised when she does that?

Because some of the local newscasts were showing graphics cat 2 and once over land a cat 1. Some people don't pay attention to the more up to date forecast.

[Vandora]

My guess is damage in Miami will be about as bad as Katrina was. Katrina was a cat 1 that went just north of the city, and Wilma is/will be a cat 2/3 passing well north of the city.

Unless I'm reading/understanding what you're saying - and my eyes are tired, so it's possible... Not sure how that could have happened. The eyewall was over ME, and I am in Miami. She came in at the Broward/Miami-Dade line and went SOUTHwest.

[6SpeedTA95]

You know, did you guys notice that the dropsonde doesn't discuss two eyewalls now, it's one eyewall and it's circular 55 miles! And the temperature difference is now 9 degrees! That temp difference and a clarified eye structure means it will be strengthening as it approaches...

Yeah thats a pretty big temp difference this late in the game

[vaffie]

You know, did you guys notice that the dropsonde doesn't discuss two eyewalls now, it's one eyewall and it's circular 55 miles! And the temperature difference is now 9 degrees! That temp difference and a clarified eye structure means it will be strengthening as it approaches...

It was 6 degrees on the latest vortex message.

I. 9 C/ 3037 m
J. 15 C/ 3048 m

Go down to the bottom and it says that the highest temperature recorded was 18 degrees.

[mtm4319]

My guess is damage in Miami will be about as bad as Katrina was. Katrina was a cat 1 that went just north of the city, and Wilma is/will be a cat 2/3 passing well north of the city.

Unless I'm reading/understanding what you're saying - and my eyes are tired, so it's possible... Not sure how that could have happened. The eyewall was over ME, and I am in Miami. She came in at the Broward/Miami-Dade line and went SOUTHwest.

I probably should have said just north of downtown. I'm not familiar with the layout of the city, so I'm probably not describing it 100% accurately. It might have tracked through the northern portions of the city.

[johngaltfla]

You know, did you guys notice that the dropsonde doesn't discuss two eyewalls now, it's one eyewall and it's circular 55 miles! And the temperature difference is now 9 degrees! That temp difference and a clarified eye structure means it will be strengthening as it approaches...

It was 6 degrees on the latest vortex message.

I. 9 C/ 3037 m
J. 15 C/ 3048 m

Still, that deserves a "WOW".

This really could crank up to 125 before landfall.

Wow.

[Canelaw99]

Nope - not northern parts of the city. It went through the southern part of the county -

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200512.asp

[Ground_Zero_92]

From the looks of it, the worst of the weather on the east coast is going to stay from Fort Lauderdale northward. It's already at Key West's latitude, so I'm not sure why people are saying Miami will get a cat 2.

The weather will be to the south and the eye is 55miles wide, some of the eye will pass over dade, and strongest winds o south, miami gets cat 2!

Everything I have heard says worse "weather" will be North of center. Looking at radar that is confirmed.

I would love to know where where that has been confirmed aside from your look at radar. Seriously, I'll trade you Cat 2/3 sustained wind for TS winds any day. As far as I have seen from Max Mayfield to Brian Norcross, to the windfield analysis, the SE side is it for the strongest winds.