Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[Brent]

Geez... she's flying.

[SkeetoBite]

[LAwxrgal]

She refuses to die....

[quandary]

She's racing off at 47mph. Give 2 more records to Wilma. Strong October storm at her latitute. If she isn't now she's gaining so much latitude and losing very little strength, so she will be soon. Also, strongest storm to be moving at this speed. Certainly she'll go even faster soon.

[jrtalon]

Are they still flying recon to Wilma? I wonder if its any harder to sample a storm when its going 47mph.

[AussieMark]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 250848
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

...WILMA BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AS IT RACES NORTHEASTWARD...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...
505 KM... EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH ...85 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...KEEPING
WILMA WELL OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 430 MILES...695 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH WILMA WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE U.S. EAST
COAST...HIGH SURF IS PRESENTLY OCCURRING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...34.8 N... 70.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$

[AussieMark]

000
WTNT44 KNHC 250847
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

THE CLOUD PATTERN OF WILMA IS BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE...WITH THE
EYE BECOMING LESS DISTINCT AND THE CONVECTION BECOMING LESS
SYMMETRIC. THE RECONNAISSANCE FIX NEAR 00Z WAS ABOUT 40 MILES TO
THE WEST OF THE SATELLITE EYE AND AN SSMI PASS AT 0136Z ALSO
SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER MAY BE DECOUPLING. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 100 KT. THIS WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE AND WILMA SHOULD LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER
ROUGHLY 20C WATERS IN ANOTHER DAY OR SO.

THE TRACK FORECAST OF WILMA AND ITS EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS IS NOT
STRAIGHTFORWARD. IN THE SHORT TERM...WILMA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
BRISKLY NORTHEASTWARD...ALTHOUGH THE FORWARD SPEED COULD BE SLOWER
THAN SHOWN BELOW SHOULD THE VORTEX SHEAR OUT MORE RAPIDLY THAN
ANTICIPATED. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN
EXTRATROPICAL LOW CLOSE TO NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE
UKMET AND NOGAPS VORTEX TRACKERS ARE CONFUSING WILMA WITH THIS
DEVELOPING CYCLONE...WHICH CONTAMINATES THE MODEL CONSENSUS...WHILE
THE GFDL ROTATES WILMA CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE NEW LOW INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES IN 24-36 HOURS. THE GFS MAINTAINS WILMA AS A
SEPARATE ENTITY TO THE EAST OF THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE...AND THIS IS
THE SOLUTION PREFERRED BY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. SHOULD WILMA
COMPLETELY DECOUPLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS HOWEVER...THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF WILMA IS LIKELY TO GET ABSORBED INTO THE
DEVELOPING CYCLONE AND NOT SURVIVE MORE THAN 36-48 HOURS OR SO.


FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 25/0900Z 34.8N 70.0W 100 KT
12HR VT 25/1800Z 38.9N 64.2W 85 KT
24HR VT 26/0600Z 43.0N 57.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 26/1800Z 45.0N 51.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 27/0600Z 46.0N 45.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 28/0600Z 46.0N 35.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 29/0600Z 47.0N 23.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 30/0600Z 55.0N 20.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL


$$

[ronibaida]

does anyone know where i can get a high resolution image of wilma from when she was a cat 5??

[cycloneye]

P.K and those members who live in Europe Wilma may pay a visit up there.

[superfly]

does anyone know where i can get a high resolution image of wilma from when she was a cat 5??

Ask and ye shall receive

http://img486.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... res4sp.jpg

[superfly]

And one more...

[cycloneye]

522
WTNT44 KNHC 251431
TCDAT4
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT WILMA IS WEAKENING AND
BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERSTICS. AN SSM/I OVERPASS AT
1117Z SHOWS THAT THE CENTER IS NORTHWEST OF THE PRIMARY
CONVECTION...WHILE VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS COLD AIR CLOUDS SOUTH OF
THE CENTER AND A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT. WILMA SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM IN THE NEXT
12-24 HR...WHICH SHOULD FINISH OFF THE REMAINING CENTRAL CONVECTION
AND THE REMAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS
LIKE TO LOSE WILMA IN THE WARM FRONT OF A BAROCLINIC LOW CENTERED
NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN LESS THAN 72
HR. GIVE THE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM...IT WILL PROBABLY LAST A BIT
LONGER THAN THAT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A VERY RAPID 045/046. ASSUMING WILMA IS NOT
ABSORBED BY THE BAROCLINIC LOW...THE FORECAST TRACK WILL TURN THE
CYCLONE EASTWARD OVER THE TOP OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE IN THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC THROUGH 72 HR...FOLLOWED BY AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
BEFORE DISSIPATION.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 25/1500Z 38.5N 66.0W 90 KT
12HR VT 26/0000Z 42.3N 60.0W 75 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 26/1200Z 44.9N 54.3W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 27/0000Z 46.0N 47.8W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 27/1200Z 46.0N 40.9W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 28/1200Z 46.0N 30.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 29/1200Z 50.0N 20.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

[HurricaneGirl]

I don't recall ever seeing a hurricane haul butt as fast as Wilma.

[cjrciadt]

How the models say goodbye to Wilma.
Look how our buddy the LBAR treats Wilma

[cycloneye]

Well I am about to lock this very long thread as soon the last advisorie is written so those who still want to comment about Wilma come and post because very soon thread will be locked.

[WxGuy1]

High res pics of Wilma over the Caribbean:

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gall ... 40.1km.jpg

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gall ... 0.500m.jpg

The first and second image are from different times. There are 4 difference resolutions available for each image (2km, 1km, 500m, and 250m)... The first link is to a 1km image, and the second to a 500m image. MODIS images are amazing, so check out more of them at http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/

[P.K.]

96HR VT 29/1200Z 50.0N 20.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

Just 20 deg west too far. (Although the Met Office model does appear to bring it over this way)

[cycloneye]

25/1745 UTC 40.3N 64.5W EXTRATROPICAL WILMA -- Atlantic Ocean


Wilma has becomed Extratropical and now after 268 pages of good discussions about Hurricane Wilma this thread will close.

[cycloneye]

I took the sticky off as the 5 PM advisorie will be the last one as Wilma has becomed extratropical.

P.K watch Wilma over there.

[P.K.]

There have been people watching out for Wilma over here since 18/10 http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/forums/thread-view.asp?tid=24620&start=1