Tropical Wave at Caribbean

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cycloneye
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Tropical Wave at Caribbean

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 25, 2005 1:09 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 251526
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
WILMA... LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH CAROLINA AND 440 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA
SCOTIA.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-
MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

11:30 TWO.

W-CENTRAL ATLC WAVE IS ALONG 52W S OF 18N MOVING W 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE SHOWS STRONG ROTATION IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS BUT HAS
CONSIDERABLY WLY SHEAR INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER UPPER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST BY THE GFS TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE WAVE ENTERS THE LESSER ANTILLES
TOMORROW. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT WITH THE EFFECTS MOST CONCENTRATED IN THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN
49W-55W WITH MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE FROM 9N-16N
BETWEEN 45W-57W.

2 PM Discussion

Let's see what this wave does in the next few days but being 2005 anything is possible.

Image
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Oct 28, 2005 5:56 am, edited 23 times in total.
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feederband
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#2 Postby feederband » Tue Oct 25, 2005 1:57 pm

What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:
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#3 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 25, 2005 1:59 pm

feederband wrote:What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:


Expletives?

:roflmao:
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#4 Postby feederband » Tue Oct 25, 2005 2:00 pm

HA!!!
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Oct 25, 2005 2:00 pm

Brent wrote:
feederband wrote:What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:


Expletives?

:roflmao:


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Oct 25, 2005 2:01 pm

feederband wrote:What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:


Armageddon??? :wink:
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#7 Postby feederband » Tue Oct 25, 2005 2:02 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:
feederband wrote:What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:


Armageddon??? :wink:



Then Bomb???
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 25, 2005 7:22 pm

W-CENTRAL ATLC WAVE IS ALONG 53W S OF 18N MOVING W 15-20 KT.
THIS WAVE SHOWS STRONG ROTATION IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS BUT HAS
CONSIDERABLY WLY SHEAR INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT. UPPER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST BY THE GFS TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AS THE WAVE ENTERS THE LESSER ANTILLES TOMORROW.
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT
WITH THE EFFECTS MOST CONCENTRATED IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 49W-56W.

8 PM Discussion of this wave.

Regardless if it develops or not plenty of rain is instore for the lesser antilles islands in the next couple of days.
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#9 Postby msbee » Tue Oct 25, 2005 7:43 pm

that's us, Luis?
or is it further South?
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 25, 2005 7:45 pm

msbee wrote:that's us, Luis?
or is it further South?


We have to watch in the northern islands if this wave turns more to the north but if it keeps moving like it is now the majority will pass south of the norhern Leewards.
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#11 Postby abajan » Tue Oct 25, 2005 7:50 pm

My part of the island already had a pretty intense shower about an hour ago.

Our local Mets are saying that a fast approaching tropical wave will combine with an upper level trough and the ITCZ. (It has been my observation that whenever those three combine, copious amounts of rainfall tend to occur.)
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#12 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Oct 25, 2005 7:58 pm

2 tropical systems possible in the next week...amazing...just crazy

the SW carrib. one and now this one...


well...it ain't over till it's over....
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#13 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Oct 25, 2005 8:16 pm

Brent wrote:
feederband wrote:What's after the Greek Alfabet? :?: :eek: :wink:


Expletives?

:roflmao:


If we get to Omega, the mods will have to lift the Expletive ban! :hehe: :Chit:
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#14 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Oct 25, 2005 8:16 pm

we may not have to wait a week... maybe within just 2 or 3 days. :roll:
the hurricane year that just kept going and going and going

Hurricane Season 2005 = the energizer bunny
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#15 Postby abajan » Tue Oct 25, 2005 8:22 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:...Hurricane Season 2005 = the energizer bunny

Yes but your avatar is a mouse, isn't it? :lol:
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#16 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Oct 25, 2005 8:24 pm

yeah, I do have a mouse... almost forgot. I don't usually see it.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 25, 2005 8:56 pm

abajan wrote:My part of the island already had a pretty intense shower about an hour ago.

Our local Mets are saying that a fast approaching tropical wave will combine with an upper level trough and the ITCZ. (It has been my observation that whenever those three combine, copious amounts of rainfall tend to occur.)


Yee interaction will occur meaning a good deal of rainy and some squally weather for you down there.
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#18 Postby hicksta » Tue Oct 25, 2005 9:03 pm

go away
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 25, 2005 9:07 pm


ABNT20 KNHC 260206
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...


SQUALLY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIKELY SPREAD
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#20 Postby hicksta » Tue Oct 25, 2005 9:08 pm

Go avalia!!!
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