Tropical Depression 26,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[cycloneye]

Ok here it is.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SIX (AL262005) ON 20051027 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051027 0000 051027 1200 051028 0000 051028 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.0N 81.6W 11.9N 82.7W 12.6N 83.7W 13.3N 85.0W
BAMM 11.0N 81.6W 11.8N 82.6W 12.4N 83.6W 12.9N 84.6W
A98E 11.0N 81.6W 11.4N 82.7W 11.8N 84.0W 12.4N 85.4W
LBAR 11.0N 81.6W 12.1N 82.5W 13.5N 83.3W 15.5N 84.3W
SHIP 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS 54KTS
DSHP 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS 33KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051029 0000 051030 0000 051031 0000 051101 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.9N 86.3W 14.0N 89.2W 13.7N 93.2W 13.6N 97.6W
BAMM 13.2N 85.9W 12.8N 89.1W 11.8N 93.8W 11.3N 98.7W
A98E 12.9N 87.3W 14.7N 91.0W 15.6N 95.0W 16.4N 98.2W
LBAR 17.6N 84.9W 21.7N 84.1W 25.7N 79.9W 30.8N 70.6W
SHIP 59KTS 60KTS 50KTS 41KTS
DSHP 29KTS 29KTS 19KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.0N LONCUR = 81.6W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 10.2N LONM12 = 80.5W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 10.3N LONM24 = 79.1W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like the beta is coming...This is why I'm interested in the tropics so many suprizes...SO HERE COMES BETA!

[cjrciadt]

TD26!!!! I cant believe I'am saying that.

[WindRunner]

And our Greek vacation will continue shortly.

[hicksta]

Ahh!! How far can we go!

[beachbum_al]

Today it will be Beta on the way...so who is next.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I think this seasons going to go all the way to OMEGA!!! In which he will be a storm twice the size of typhoon tips with 200 mph winds off the Florida coast making landfall into MIami...Then moving northward into new york city.

[Brent]

[krysof]

I think this seasons going to go all the way to OMEGA!!! In which he will be a storm twice the size of typhoon tips with 200 mph winds off the Florida coast making landfall into MIami...Then moving northward into new york city.

Can we say "Armagadean"

[Brent]

I think this seasons going to go all the way to OMEGA!!! In which he will be a storm twice the size of typhoon tips with 200 mph winds off the Florida coast making landfall into MIami...Then moving northward into new york city.

[quandary]

I think this seasons going to go all the way to OMEGA!!! In which he will be a storm twice the size of typhoon tips with 200 mph winds off the Florida coast making landfall into MIami...Then moving northward into new york city.

I suppose this statement is so utterly ridiculous that it needs no disclaimer. However, I will post it anyways. The above statement clearly is only a figment of the imagination of the poster and is not an official forecast. For all official forecasts, go to http://www.nhc.noaa.gov

No offense intended Matt.

[wxman57]

It appears that TD 26 is too far south to be picked up and carried northward. Probalby will move ashore into Nicaragua in 48 hours as a TS. But it is interesting that the GFDL takes it to 111 kts before landfall. Even more interesting is the max potential intensity in this region of the Caribbean as 880-890mb and Cat 5:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

That's what was indicated for Wilma. Fortunately, this system won't be over water long enough to get that strong (probably).

I hope 2006 is a "quiet" season with only 12-13 storms.

[Praxus]

I think this seasons going to go all the way to OMEGA!!! In which he will be a storm twice the size of typhoon tips with 200 mph winds off the Florida coast making landfall into MIami...Then moving northward into new york city.

Awesome, then you can start another "Will this hurricane name be retired" thread !

[johngaltfla]

Interesting season. I think that almost everywhere a storm could form, one has. Except just soutwest of us right off the coast of Florida. However the season is young....

[WeatherEmperor]

unbelievable. thats all i got to say.

<RICKY>

[gatorcane]

LBAR brings it into S. Florida although it's very early to say what is going to happen..

A slow drift to the NW is likely...it will be over land in Nicaragua but should reemerge back into the NW Caribbean...

[wxman57]

LBAR brings it into S. Florida although it's very early to say what is going to happen..

A slow drift to the NW is likely...it will be over land in Nicaragua but should reemerge back into the NW Caribbean...

LBAR is a worthless tropical model, and it's not too early to say that this developing storm is probably not going to be a Florida threat.

[Ivanhater]

LBAR brings it into S. Florida although it's very early to say what is going to happen..

A slow drift to the NW is likely...it will be over land in Nicaragua but should reemerge back into the NW Caribbean...

LBAR is a worthless tropical model, and it's not too early to say that this developing storm is probably not going to be a Florida threat.

haaaa, i bet your tired of saying lbar is worthless, lol

[gatorcane]

so you think future Beta is not going to impact FL?

[WeatherEmperor]

so you think future Beta is not going to impact FL?

yeah boca I think thats what he is trying to say. lol. The fact that anybody would consider the LBAR model during the hurricane season, especially moreso this time of year, is very troubling....

<RICKY>