Accuweathers take on td26

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Ivanhater
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Accuweathers take on td26

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:04 pm

The AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center Meteorologists are once again watching the western Caribbean for tropical development this weekend. Chief Hurricane Meteorologist Joe Bastardi said the weather pattern is a classic late-season pattern in the western Caribbean. The front that plowed through Florida in the wake of Wilma is stuck in the Caribbean. The combination of tropical waves interacting with the front and the large high pressure system to the north could spin up Tropical Storm Beta over the weekend. If a storm does develop, the jet stream will buckle in such a way over the midsection of the country next week that Florida and the East Coast could once again face another storm.
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#2 Postby cajungal » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:15 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek: Does it ever end? Geez wake me up when hurricane season is over! Enough already! Next thing you know all the kids will be dressed up as hurricane swirls for halloween.
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#3 Postby wxman57 » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:17 pm

JB tries to take every single storm to the east coast. Definitely has a strong U.S. East Coast bias in his forecasts. TD 26 doesn't appear to be an east U.S. Coast threat.
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#4 Postby gilbert88 » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:17 pm

Wow... that scenario looks really unlikely... that's a very bold forecast, let's see what the NHC has to say about Tooentee-Seeks
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#5 Postby cajungal » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:19 pm

I thought JB bias was the mouth of the MS river. I don't really read accuweather much. They always stir up too much hype. I rather get my information from here.
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#6 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:24 pm

I guess JB is using some variation of the LBAR because there is no other plausible information out there at this time to indicate an east coast threat.
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#7 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Oct 26, 2005 9:25 pm

wxman57 wrote:JB tries to take every single storm to the east coast. Definitely has a strong U.S. East Coast bias in his forecasts. TD 26 doesn't appear to be an east U.S. Coast threat.


ya, id like to know what happened to the big east coast threat that was forecast? :lol:
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#8 Postby Recurve » Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:45 am

Hey, he means Florida west coast and then East Coast U.S. threat, dontcha think? Classic recurve scenario. The writing is just bad.
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#9 Postby WxGuy1 » Thu Oct 27, 2005 1:54 am

Recurve wrote:Hey, he means Florida west coast and then East Coast U.S. threat, dontcha think? Classic recurve scenario. The writing is just bad.


Sure, the writing is bad, but so is the meteorology behind the writing... :lol:

To their credit, the 0z Canadian model run does take to-be Beta to Florida. Unfortunately, the CMC generally performs poorly, so I'd stick with the other models in forecasting a slow northwestward motion.
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#10 Postby Cookiely » Thu Oct 27, 2005 5:25 am

I don't think JB is talking about Beta being a threat but another storm developing next.
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#11 Postby SkeetoBite » Thu Oct 27, 2005 5:50 am

Cookiely wrote:I don't think JB is talking about Beta being a threat but another storm developing next.


That's what is sounded like to me too.
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