A pinhole eye is now seen in the sat pictures...
I think Beta is now a cat 2/3
Hurricane BETA Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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gatorcane
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Prediction:
Beta will move ashore tomorrow, weaken, and then all eyes will be on the wave approaching the lesser Antilles. Why?
1) it's showing excellent satellite presentation this evening, nearly an invest in my opinion.
2) it's not going to be a fish as ridging is building in out ahead of it
There's a thread on this wave to discuss further.
Beta will move ashore tomorrow, weaken, and then all eyes will be on the wave approaching the lesser Antilles. Why?
1) it's showing excellent satellite presentation this evening, nearly an invest in my opinion.
2) it's not going to be a fish as ridging is building in out ahead of it
There's a thread on this wave to discuss further.
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MalakianOne
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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FunkMasterB
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gatorcane
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No, I've seen this graphic. Actually there is already a discussion about this.
It won't happen because there will be too much ridging to the north of Beta. See the GFS tropical cyclone genesis model.
I think Accuweather is trying to build up drama during the aftermath of Wilma and/or it's on crack.
It won't happen because there will be too much ridging to the north of Beta. See the GFS tropical cyclone genesis model.
I think Accuweather is trying to build up drama during the aftermath of Wilma and/or it's on crack.
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MalakianOne
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...
471
WHXX01 KWBC 300025
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE BETA (AL262005) ON 20051030 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051030 0000 051030 1200 051031 0000 051031 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.8N 82.6W 13.8N 84.0W 13.8N 85.5W 14.1N 87.3W
BAMM 13.8N 82.6W 13.4N 84.0W 13.0N 85.6W 12.7N 87.5W
A98E 13.8N 82.6W 13.8N 83.5W 13.8N 84.8W 13.9N 86.3W
LBAR 13.8N 82.6W 13.9N 83.9W 14.5N 85.4W 15.2N 87.5W
SHIP 90KTS 99KTS 105KTS 108KTS
DSHP 90KTS 99KTS 50KTS 34KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051101 0000 051102 0000 051103 0000 051104 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.5N 89.0W 15.8N 92.0W 17.3N 93.2W 19.3N 91.4W
BAMM 12.7N 89.4W 12.6N 93.4W 13.0N 98.5W 14.2N 103.2W
A98E 14.2N 88.1W 14.7N 91.3W 15.2N 94.4W 16.3N 96.9W
LBAR 16.2N 89.2W 20.1N 91.0W 26.5N 88.5W 32.8N 81.0W
SHIP 109KTS 98KTS 77KTS 54KTS
DSHP 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.8N LONCUR = 82.6W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 13.7N LONM12 = 81.6W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 13.4N LONM24 = 81.3W
WNDCUR = 90KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 970MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 50NM
0z Models initalized at 90kts and pressure of 970mb
WHXX01 KWBC 300025
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE BETA (AL262005) ON 20051030 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051030 0000 051030 1200 051031 0000 051031 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.8N 82.6W 13.8N 84.0W 13.8N 85.5W 14.1N 87.3W
BAMM 13.8N 82.6W 13.4N 84.0W 13.0N 85.6W 12.7N 87.5W
A98E 13.8N 82.6W 13.8N 83.5W 13.8N 84.8W 13.9N 86.3W
LBAR 13.8N 82.6W 13.9N 83.9W 14.5N 85.4W 15.2N 87.5W
SHIP 90KTS 99KTS 105KTS 108KTS
DSHP 90KTS 99KTS 50KTS 34KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051101 0000 051102 0000 051103 0000 051104 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.5N 89.0W 15.8N 92.0W 17.3N 93.2W 19.3N 91.4W
BAMM 12.7N 89.4W 12.6N 93.4W 13.0N 98.5W 14.2N 103.2W
A98E 14.2N 88.1W 14.7N 91.3W 15.2N 94.4W 16.3N 96.9W
LBAR 16.2N 89.2W 20.1N 91.0W 26.5N 88.5W 32.8N 81.0W
SHIP 109KTS 98KTS 77KTS 54KTS
DSHP 29KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.8N LONCUR = 82.6W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 13.7N LONM12 = 81.6W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 13.4N LONM24 = 81.3W
WNDCUR = 90KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 970MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 50NM
0z Models initalized at 90kts and pressure of 970mb
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fasterdisaster
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fasterdisaster
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FunkMasterB
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WindRunner
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
They say the ACE is the 4th most active overall season since 1950s. What is the most Active season this one has a 212 in which Beta is going to add to that another 3.88 something?
The recon been reporting for the last few days that Beta has not been as strong as thought. At least at flight level...I don't know but this is another that might have stronger winds near the surface. Is that right or wrong?
The recon been reporting for the last few days that Beta has not been as strong as thought. At least at flight level...I don't know but this is another that might have stronger winds near the surface. Is that right or wrong?
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