LLC 11n-58w

Anthonyl · #1 Postby **Anthonyl** » Fri Nov 11, 2005 1:22 pm

There seem to be a pretty decent wave on the horizon heading toward the Windward Islands, more copious moisture and eminent flooding for the isles.

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 6:59 am

W-CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W S OF 16N MOVING W
10-15 KT. A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC SWIRL IS EVIDENT NEAR 10N56W
ON NIGHT CHANNEL IR IMAGERY. IT IS QUITE ORGANIZED FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. WLY SHEAR SHOULD HAMPER ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 53W-58W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO E OF THE WAVE AXIS
FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 50W-56W.

7 AM EST Discussion about this wave.

Shear is too strong for development to take place but nerverless it's interesting to see a good looking wave being mid november.

Anthonyl I edited the title of thread to put the new position per discussion from TPC.

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 1:11 pm

TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 300 NM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
ALONG 56W/57W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO
DISPLAY A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY BUT REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WESTERLY SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS BEING PUSHED
MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE E OF THE AXIS FROM 10N-19N BETWEEN
54W-57W. ON ITS CURRENT PACE...THE WAVE SHOULD REACH BARBADOS BY
THIS EVENING AND THE LEEWARD/WINDWARD ISLANDS TOMORROW...WITH
THE HEAVIEST CONVECTION THEN MOVING IN BEHIND THE AXIS.

1 Pm EST Discussion.

#4 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 1:48 pm

It would be interesting if this wave stayed together once moving into the carib. This would be even more interesting if the shear in the carib. relaxes. We'll have to watch this for the next couple of days. We have seen LLC's hold together this season even though they moved through high area's of shear.

#5 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 3:07 pm

This one is well worth watching IMHO.

#6 Postby **brunota2003** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 3:09 pm

IMO, this one looks better then Invest 93...

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 7:06 pm

TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ALONG 58W S OF
19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. 1008 MB LOW MAY BE FORMING ALONG THE
WAVE NEAR 11N ACCORDING THE LAST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES.
LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE FROM 9N-19N
BETWEEN 51W-59W AND SHOULD MAKE TOMORROW QUITE WET FOR THE
LEEWARD/WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE LATEST GFS IS SUGGESTING SOME
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR BUT WLY UPPER WINDS SHOULD
PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

7 PM EST Discussion is very interesting.

I edited the title to include the latest about low forming.

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 7:34 pm

Shesar is very strong to the north above 15n so it has a small window of chance if it stays at very low latitud.

#9 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Sat Nov 12, 2005 9:15 pm

Wow! That sprung up fast. The question is, how interested will the NHC be?

LLC 11n-58w

LLC 11n-58w

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