Invest 93L Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[jusforsean]

Thanks Brunota!! I see it now, it seems the same as its been all day they all seem to be taking it just south of us here in south florida?? The only scary thought is normally i would be thinking oh thank god its going to just miss us but now depending on the size if the storm even if we see tropical storm weather here i sont thing my beautiful new blue roof would hold up:: I will have to keep watching this one

[fasterdisaster]

If it doesn't become a TD before hitting CA then after a little recovery it could become Gamma.

[mike815]

Yeah im still watching this one too.

[danman]

Is it just me, or does the IR image look aboslutley HUUUUGE for 93? even though its not necessarily indicitive of real conditions.

[mike815]

It does look pretty big.

[fci]

Hey Brunota:

You are not going to post any OMG's about the potential 160 kt wind and 880 mb pressure about 93L; are you?



I'm just razzing you, I got over our little battle earlier this week but was just curious.....

[mike815]

LOL yeah tim

[mike815]

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area
of low pressure centered a short distance off the coast of
Nicaragua. This system has changed little in organization this
evening...and the low is likely to move inland over Central America
before significant development can occur. Regardless of whether or
not a tropical cyclone forms in this area...locally heavy rainfall
is likely over portions of Central America...particularly over
Nicaragua and Honduras...during the next couple of days. These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft will investigate the
system on Thursday...if necessary.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Friday.
Forecaster Franklin
Going to run out of time.

[cjrciadt]

[mike815]

Oh well it looks good just going to run out of time. I was sortoff hopeing just for another named system. I guess im being greedy.

[SouthFloridawx]

Ok it's running out of time to develope now... what about when it re-emerges into the caribean just below the yuchatan. Will it get a chance to strengthen then?

[Brent]

Ok it's running out of time to develope now... what about when it re-emerges into the caribean just below the yuchatan. Will it get a chance to strengthen then?

I doubt it...

[Anonymous]

Ok it's running out of time to develope now... what about when it re-emerges into the caribean just below the yuchatan. Will it get a chance to strengthen then?

Its quite possible

[SouthFloridawx]

Ok it's running out of time to develope now... what about when it re-emerges into the caribean just below the yuchatan. Will it get a chance to strengthen then?

Its quite possible

Is it just me or does it look like there is another swirl around...

[Anonymous]

Im watchin this area:::

[SouthFloridawx]

Im watchin this area:::

that was in my circle
lol
j/k

[Anonymous]

Bottom Line: Florida needs to keep an eye on it. Especially the area where Wilma made landfall, because that is the most likely, if any likelyhood at all exists, that a storm that may develop from this area will impact (SW Florida).

I predict however that the closest it will come towards Florida may be Cuba or the Florida Straits, and even if it does near the South Florida peninsula, it's almost garunteed it wont be more than a minimal hurricane or tropical storm. The waters are really beginning to cool into the high 70s. Enough for a minimal hurricane, but not enough for something major.

Kevin Cho - Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

I DO NOT expect this to happen 93L, but if it became a Category 4 and entered the Gulf of Mexico, and sped up into Florida...it might not strengthen...but it could keep it's intensity. In the late seasons, landfall intensity depends on how strong the systems get in the Caribbean.

[Hurricaneman]

Bottom Line: Florida needs to keep an eye on it. Especially the area where Wilma made landfall, because that is the most likely, if any likelyhood at all exists, that a storm that may develop from this area will impact (SW Florida).

I predict however that the closest it will come towards Florida may be Cuba or the Florida Straits, and even if it does near the South Florida peninsula, it's almost garunteed it wont be more than a minimal hurricane or tropical storm. The waters are really beginning to cool into the high 70s. Enough for a minimal hurricane, but not enough for something major.

Kevin Cho - Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School

I DO NOT expect this to happen 93L, but if it became a Category 4 and entered the Gulf of Mexico, and sped up into Florida...it might not strengthen...but it could keep it's intensity. In the late seasons, landfall intensity depends on how strong the systems get in the Caribbean.

I really dont see 93l becoming much

[Brent]

I really dont see 93l becoming much

I don't either...

[P.K.]

WHXX04 KWBC 170522
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 93L

INITIAL TIME 0Z NOV 17

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 12.0 81.7 295./ 7.0
6 12.5 82.4 309./ 8.5
12 12.7 82.8 293./ 4.6
18 12.9 83.3 290./ 4.8
24 12.9 83.6 283./ 3.1
30 13.4 84.0 322./ 5.9
36 14.2 84.5 329./ 9.3
42 15.1 85.1 325./10.9
48 16.0 86.0 314./11.8
54 16.4 86.9 292./10.2
60 16.3 87.2 260./ 2.2
66 16.5 86.9 50./ 3.5
72 16.8 86.9 350./ 2.9
78 17.0 86.6 70./ 3.4
84 17.4 86.2 44./ 6.1
90 17.9 85.7 47./ 6.3
96 18.5 85.1 44./ 8.2
102 19.0 84.5 47./ 8.2
108 19.6 83.7 53./ 9.8
114 20.2 82.5 66./12.5
120 20.8 80.8 68./16.8
126 21.6 78.9 68./20.2