TD 27,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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cycloneye
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#401 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 16, 2005 9:36 am

Well since TD 27 is gone officially this thread is locked.
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#402 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 17, 2005 2:42 pm

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

NRL dropped 93L from the backup site and then put up again NONAME at the main site and if you look at the pic and put your mouse at pic the position is where the convection is.Ummmm
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Nov 17, 2005 2:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#403 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Thu Nov 17, 2005 2:44 pm

Interesting indeed. I guess 27Noname is back!
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#404 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:10 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEV (AL272005) ON 20051118 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051118 0000 051118 1200 051119 0000 051119 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.3N 84.7W 17.2N 86.7W 18.1N 87.9W 19.6N 88.2W
BAMM 16.3N 84.7W 16.7N 86.8W 16.9N 88.0W 17.0N 88.8W
A98E 16.3N 84.7W 16.7N 87.5W 16.8N 89.7W 17.0N 91.3W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 35KTS 36KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 35KTS 30KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051120 0000 051121 0000 051122 0000 051123 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.0N 86.8W 29.2N 76.1W 28.1N 58.2W 20.6N 51.2W
BAMM 17.3N 89.2W 19.3N 87.6W 22.9N 78.8W 29.6N 64.2W
A98E 17.7N 92.0W 19.4N 90.9W 20.9N 86.4W 24.4N 78.7W
SHIP 33KTS 21KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 16.3N LONCUR = 84.7W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 15.5N LONM12 = 81.7W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 15.0N LONM24 = 77.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

00:00z Models.They made a run on ex TD 27.Now the question is will they restart advisories on TD 27 or they go ahead to TD 28 with 93L.A very interesting situation unfolding here.
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#405 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:13 pm

Yeah TD 27 ITS BACK.... wow this situation is very complex and wierd thats a real good question i dont know.
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#406 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:16 pm

HE SHE IT LIVES!!! STILL HAVE THAT CROW WAITIN... and it has 60 kt winds on quickscat, if this is the same area...possibly Tropical Storm Gamma by tomorrow???
Last edited by brunota2003 on Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#407 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:19 pm

Wait a min. Lets come down tiger Named storm yes hurr. totally different story. Have to wait and see and yes "it" lives!
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#408 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:20 pm

Image

It looks like it may have or is developing a circulation... good convection still continuing...
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#409 Postby Rainband » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:20 pm

Recon found no closed center. Winds of TS strength in some squalls.
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#410 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:21 pm

16.3 would be just back over the Caribbean. Things are going to get interesting. In if that 60 knots is right. We may soon have Gamma.
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#411 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:22 pm

Rainband wrote:Recon found no closed center. Winds of TS strength in some squalls.


Yes, that is true. I know. However, it looks like it is trying to develop a circulation now. It looked so earlier as well, even if it didn't have a center than or dosn't have one now... yet. It may well be in the PROCESS of developing one.
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#412 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:22 pm

Yes we might next 24 hrs or less.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#413 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:23 pm

Rainband wrote:Recon found no closed center. Winds of TS strength in some squalls.


That was about 6 or 7 hours ago. Waiting for new recon.
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#414 Postby WindRunner » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:24 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
Rainband wrote:Recon found no closed center. Winds of TS strength in some squalls.


That was about 6 or 7 hours ago. Waiting for new recon.


You're gonna have to wait for a while . . . not for another ~17hrs now.
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#415 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:27 pm

SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN CARIBBEAN)
A. 18/1800Z
B. AFXXX 02JJA INVEST
C. 18/1400Z
D. 16.0N 83.5W
E. 18/1700Z TO 18/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

Matt for tommorow afternoon at 18:00z.
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#416 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:27 pm

The latest infra-red loop may show signs of a center trying to develop...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
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#417 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:32 pm

hmmm.... maybe could it be...
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MiamiensisWx

#418 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:33 pm

mike815 wrote:hmmm.... maybe could it be...


Yes... that is what I am thinking...
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#419 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:34 pm

I agree. It appears so yup.
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#420 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:34 pm

Ok, its back, now get the name Gamma then proceed to the next set of doors on the right where they are going to put you to sleep, thank you, and Happy Holidays!!!
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